{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\gk57526\Dropbox\Informal & Formal Bargaining (BAA Reforms)\JOP Replication File Materials\Output\execbudinfluence.08-26-2020.SI SECTION 5.ALTERNATIVE AGENCY PANEL MODELS.comments.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}21 Mar 2021, 22:10:04
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
.  
. *** SECTION 5 OF SUPPORTING INFORMATION DOCUMENT: SENSITIVITY ANALYSES FOR ALTERNATIVE AGENCY PANELS ***
. 
.    
.    
. *** 5A. OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED ONE-SIDED AGENCIES ***
. 
. *** 5B. OMIT ALL ONE-SIDED AGENCIES [EITHER TERMINATED PRE-BAA REFORMS OR CREATED POST-BAA REFORMS] ***
. 
. *** 5C. INCLUSION OF AGENCY UNIT-EFFECTS FOR AGENCY PANELS THAT SUFFICIENTLY STRADDLE PRE-BAA AND POST-BAA REFORM REGIMES & HAVE SUFFICIENT NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS *** 
.    
.    
.    
. 
. 
.  * OPEN "EXECUTIVE BUDGETARY INFLUENCE" DATABASE WITH NEWLY CREATED VARIABLES
.  
. use "C:\Users\gk57526\Dropbox\Informal & Formal Bargaining (BAA Reforms)\JOP Replication File Materials\Data\execbudinfluence.08-26-2020.REPORTED MODELS.REV.comments.dta", replace
{txt}
{com}. 
.  
. 
. *** DECLARE DATABASE AS A PANEL (AGENCY ID * FISCAL YEAR): 
. 
. xtset agenid fyear, yearly
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}agenid (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}fyear, 1894 to 1940
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 year
{txt}
{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** STEP 1. GENERATE POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCY INDICATOR [= 1 FOR AGENCIES CREATED POST-BAA; = 0 OTHERWISE (FOR AGENCIES CREATED PRE-BAA) ***
. 
. gen postbaaagencies=1 if agenid==3 | agenid==5 | agenid==7 | agenid==16 | agenid==18 | agenid==25 | agenid==26 | agenid==28 | agenid==29 | agenid==30 |agenid==32 
{txt}(733 missing values generated)

{com}. replace postbaaagencies = 0 if postbaaagencies==.
{txt}(733 real changes made)

{com}. 
. 
. *** STEP 2. GENERATE ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE/POST-BAA AGENCY INDICATOR [= 1 FOR AGENCIES CREATED POST-BAA FYs OR TERMINATED PRE-BAA; = 0 OTHERWISE (FOR AGENCIES CONTAINING BOTH PRE & POST BAA OBSERVATIONS) ***
. 
. gen onesidedagencies=1 if agenid==8 | agenid==11 | agenid==13 | agenid==37 | agenid==3 | agenid==5 | agenid==7 | agenid==16 | agenid==18 | agenid==25 |agenid==26 | agenid==28 | agenid==29 | agenid== 30 | agenid==32
{txt}(703 missing values generated)

{com}. replace onesidedagencies = 0 if onesidedagencies==.
{txt}(703 real changes made)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** STEP 3. GENERATE AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS AND EMPLOY THOSE THAT SUFFICIENTLY STRADDLE BOTH PRE-REFORM & POST-REFORM ERAS ***
. 
. tabulate agenid, gen(agenid)

     {txt}agenid {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          1 {c |}{res}         20        2.45        2.45
{txt}          2 {c |}{res}         10        1.23        3.68
{txt}          3 {c |}{res}         15        1.84        5.52
{txt}          4 {c |}{res}         13        1.60        7.12
{txt}          5 {c |}{res}          5        0.61        7.73
{txt}          6 {c |}{res}         19        2.33       10.06
{txt}          7 {c |}{res}         12        1.47       11.53
{txt}          8 {c |}{res}          5        0.61       12.15
{txt}          9 {c |}{res}         47        5.77       17.91
{txt}         10 {c |}{res}         27        3.31       21.23
{txt}         11 {c |}{res}         11        1.35       22.58
{txt}         12 {c |}{res}         47        5.77       28.34
{txt}         13 {c |}{res}         11        1.35       29.69
{txt}         14 {c |}{res}         26        3.19       32.88
{txt}         15 {c |}{res}         47        5.77       38.65
{txt}         16 {c |}{res}         11        1.35       40.00
{txt}         17 {c |}{res}         17        2.09       42.09
{txt}         18 {c |}{res}         13        1.60       43.68
{txt}         19 {c |}{res}         20        2.45       46.13
{txt}         20 {c |}{res}         26        3.19       49.33
{txt}         21 {c |}{res}         19        2.33       51.66
{txt}         22 {c |}{res}         47        5.77       57.42
{txt}         23 {c |}{res}         31        3.80       61.23
{txt}         24 {c |}{res}         23        2.82       64.05
{txt}         25 {c |}{res}          4        0.49       64.54
{txt}         26 {c |}{res}          3        0.37       64.91
{txt}         27 {c |}{res}         47        5.77       70.67
{txt}         28 {c |}{res}          5        0.61       71.29
{txt}         29 {c |}{res}          4        0.49       71.78
{txt}         30 {c |}{res}          6        0.74       72.52
{txt}         31 {c |}{res}         31        3.80       76.32
{txt}         32 {c |}{res}          4        0.49       76.81
{txt}         33 {c |}{res}         47        5.77       82.58
{txt}         34 {c |}{res}         19        2.33       84.91
{txt}         35 {c |}{res}         47        5.77       90.67
{txt}         36 {c |}{res}         23        2.82       93.50
{txt}         37 {c |}{res}          3        0.37       93.87
{txt}         38 {c |}{res}         14        1.72       95.58
{txt}         39 {c |}{res}         17        2.09       97.67
{txt}         40 {c |}{res}         19        2.33      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}        815      100.00
{txt}
{com}. *
. *
. quietly movestay congbudchangereg2  l1congbudchangereg2  execbudchangereg2 ebcreg2baa  bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> if agenid!=15, select(regimereg = executiveagency)
{txt}
{com}. *
. tabulate agenid if bureauofbudget==0 & e(sample)

     {txt}agenid {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          2 {c |}{res}          7        2.92        2.92
{txt}          8 {c |}{res}          2        0.83        3.75
{txt}          9 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       15.00
{txt}         10 {c |}{res}          7        2.92       17.92
{txt}         11 {c |}{res}          8        3.33       21.25
{txt}         12 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       32.50
{txt}         13 {c |}{res}          8        3.33       35.83
{txt}         14 {c |}{res}          6        2.50       38.33
{txt}         17 {c |}{res}          2        0.83       39.17
{txt}         20 {c |}{res}          6        2.50       41.67
{txt}         22 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       52.92
{txt}         23 {c |}{res}         11        4.58       57.50
{txt}         24 {c |}{res}          3        1.25       58.75
{txt}         27 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       70.00
{txt}         31 {c |}{res}         11        4.58       74.58
{txt}         33 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       85.83
{txt}         35 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       97.08
{txt}         36 {c |}{res}          3        1.25       98.33
{txt}         38 {c |}{res}          1        0.42       98.75
{txt}         39 {c |}{res}          3        1.25      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}        240      100.00
{txt}
{com}. *
. tabulate agenid if bureauofbudget==0 & e(sample)

     {txt}agenid {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          2 {c |}{res}          7        2.92        2.92
{txt}          8 {c |}{res}          2        0.83        3.75
{txt}          9 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       15.00
{txt}         10 {c |}{res}          7        2.92       17.92
{txt}         11 {c |}{res}          8        3.33       21.25
{txt}         12 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       32.50
{txt}         13 {c |}{res}          8        3.33       35.83
{txt}         14 {c |}{res}          6        2.50       38.33
{txt}         17 {c |}{res}          2        0.83       39.17
{txt}         20 {c |}{res}          6        2.50       41.67
{txt}         22 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       52.92
{txt}         23 {c |}{res}         11        4.58       57.50
{txt}         24 {c |}{res}          3        1.25       58.75
{txt}         27 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       70.00
{txt}         31 {c |}{res}         11        4.58       74.58
{txt}         33 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       85.83
{txt}         35 {c |}{res}         27       11.25       97.08
{txt}         36 {c |}{res}          3        1.25       98.33
{txt}         38 {c |}{res}          1        0.42       98.75
{txt}         39 {c |}{res}          3        1.25      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}        240      100.00
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *** AGENCIES WITH SUFFICIENT STRADDLE TO HAVE THEIR OWN UNIT EFFECTS: AGENID==9 [AGRICULTURE], AGENID==12 [JUSTICE], ///
> *** AGENID==22 [INTERIOR], AGENID==23 [ICC*], AGENID==27 [POST OFFICE*], AGENID==31 [SMITHSONIAN*], AGENID==33 [STATE], AGENID==35 [TREASURY] 
. *   NOTE: INDEPENDENT OFFICES DENOTED WITH ASTERISK *
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* PROPOSITION 1: DID BAA REFORMS/CENTRALIZATION IMPROVE THE CREDIBILITY OF THE EXECUTIVE VETO THREAT [AVET LOGIC OF KIEWIET AND MCCUBBINS 1988, 1991]? ************
. 
. ** POSIT THAT E <= A: REGIMEREG, REGIMETOT = 1 (I.E., FAVORABLE EXECUTIVE BARGAINING POSITION) IS MORE PREVALENT IN POST-BAA ERA COMPARED TO PRE-BAA ERA **
. ** POSIT THAT E > A : REGIMEREG, REGIMETOT = 0 (I.E., UNFAVORABLE EXECUTIVE BARGAINING POSITION) IS LESS PREVALENT IN POST-BAA ERA COMPARED TO PRE-BAA ERA **
. 
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5A -- SENSITIVITY TESTS WITH REDUCED EFFECTIVE SAMPLES ****
. 
. 
. 
. *** 5A. FULL SAMPLE VERSUS OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE VERSUS OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED & POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE ****
.  
. 
.  
. *** 5A.1. FIRST, OBTAIN CORRECT MATCHED EFFECTIVE SAMPLE [T * N = 676] BASED ON ERS REGRESSION MODELS EMPLOYED IN THIS STUDY ***
. 
. quietly movestay congbudchangereg2  l1congbudchangereg2  execbudchangereg2 ebcreg2baa  bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> if agenid!=15, select(regimereg = executiveagency)
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *** 5A.2. DIFFERENCE IN PROPORTIONS TEST INVOLVING PROPORTION OF CREDIBLE VETO THREAT EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSALS [E <= A] IN PRE-BAA VERSUS POST-BAA ERAS [REGULAR & TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGETS] ***
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5A: FULL SAMPLE/REGULAR BUDGET: 'AUSTERE' EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSAL PROPORTION DIFFERENCE [SECTION 5: SUPPORTING INFORMATION DOCUMENT]
. prtest regimereg if e(sample), by(bureauofbudget)

{txt}Two-sample test of proportions                     {res}0{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     240
                                                   1{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     435
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
       Group{col 14}{c |}{col 22}Mean{col 29}Std. Err.{col 44}z{col 49}P>|z|{col 59}[95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
           0 {c |}{res}{col 17} .3208333{col 28} .0301316{col 58} .2617765{col 70} .3798902
           {txt}1 {c |}{res}{col 17} .6344828{col 28} .0230897{col 58} .5892277{col 70} .6797378
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        diff {c |}{res}{col 17}-.3136494{col 28} .0379612{col 58}-.3880519{col 70}-.2392469
{txt}{col 14}{c |}{col 17}under Ho:{res}{col 28} .0401618{col 38}   -7.81{col 49}0.000
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
        diff = prop({res}0{txt}) - prop({res}1{txt})                                  z = {res} -7.8096
{txt}    Ho: diff = 0

    Ha: diff < 0                 Ha: diff != 0                 Ha: diff > 0
 Pr(Z < z) = {res}0.0000         {txt}Pr(|Z| > |z|) = {res}0.0000          {txt}Pr(Z > z) = {res}1.0000
{txt}
{com}. *
. *
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5A: FULL SAMPLE/TOTAL BUDGET: 'AUSTERE' EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSAL PROPORTION DIFFERENCE [SECTION 5: SUPPORTING INFORMATION DOCUMENT]
. prtest regimetot if e(sample), by(bureauofbudget)

{txt}Two-sample test of proportions                     {res}0{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     240
                                                   1{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     435
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
       Group{col 14}{c |}{col 22}Mean{col 29}Std. Err.{col 44}z{col 49}P>|z|{col 59}[95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
           0 {c |}{res}{col 17} .2791667{col 28} .0289563{col 58} .2224133{col 70}   .33592
           {txt}1 {c |}{res}{col 17} .6344828{col 28} .0230897{col 58} .5892277{col 70} .6797378
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        diff {c |}{res}{col 17}-.3553161{col 28} .0370352{col 58}-.4279037{col 70}-.2827284
{txt}{col 14}{c |}{col 17}under Ho:{res}{col 28} .0401989{col 38}   -8.84{col 49}0.000
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
        diff = prop({res}0{txt}) - prop({res}1{txt})                                  z = {res} -8.8390
{txt}    Ho: diff = 0

    Ha: diff < 0                 Ha: diff != 0                 Ha: diff > 0
 Pr(Z < z) = {res}0.0000         {txt}Pr(|Z| > |z|) = {res}0.0000          {txt}Pr(Z > z) = {res}1.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5A: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES/REGULAR BUDGET: 'AUSTERE' EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSAL PROPORTION DIFFERENCE [SECTION 5: SUPPORTING INFORMATION DOCUMENT]
. prtest regimereg if e(sample) & postbaaagencies==0, by(bureauofbudget)

{txt}Two-sample test of proportions                     {res}0{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     240
                                                   1{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     376
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
       Group{col 14}{c |}{col 22}Mean{col 29}Std. Err.{col 44}z{col 49}P>|z|{col 59}[95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
           0 {c |}{res}{col 17} .3208333{col 28} .0301316{col 58} .2617765{col 70} .3798902
           {txt}1 {c |}{res}{col 17} .6329787{col 28} .0248569{col 58} .5842602{col 70} .6816973
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        diff {c |}{res}{col 17}-.3121454{col 28} .0390612{col 58}-.3887039{col 70}-.2355868
{txt}{col 14}{c |}{col 17}under Ho:{res}{col 28} .0412999{col 38}   -7.56{col 49}0.000
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
        diff = prop({res}0{txt}) - prop({res}1{txt})                                  z = {res} -7.5580
{txt}    Ho: diff = 0

    Ha: diff < 0                 Ha: diff != 0                 Ha: diff > 0
 Pr(Z < z) = {res}0.0000         {txt}Pr(|Z| > |z|) = {res}0.0000          {txt}Pr(Z > z) = {res}1.0000
{txt}
{com}. *
. *
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5A: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES/TOTAL BUDGET: 'AUSTERE' EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSAL PROPORTION DIFFERENCE [SECTION 5: SUPPORTING INFORMATION DOCUMENT]
. prtest regimetot if e(sample) & postbaaagencies==0, by(bureauofbudget)

{txt}Two-sample test of proportions                     {res}0{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     240
                                                   1{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     376
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
       Group{col 14}{c |}{col 22}Mean{col 29}Std. Err.{col 44}z{col 49}P>|z|{col 59}[95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
           0 {c |}{res}{col 17} .2791667{col 28} .0289563{col 58} .2224133{col 70}   .33592
           {txt}1 {c |}{res}{col 17} .6329787{col 28} .0248569{col 58} .5842602{col 70} .6816973
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        diff {c |}{res}{col 17}-.3538121{col 28} .0381619{col 58}-.4286081{col 70}-.2790161
{txt}{col 14}{c |}{col 17}under Ho:{res}{col 28} .0413086{col 38}   -8.57{col 49}0.000
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
        diff = prop({res}0{txt}) - prop({res}1{txt})                                  z = {res} -8.5651
{txt}    Ho: diff = 0

    Ha: diff < 0                 Ha: diff != 0                 Ha: diff > 0
 Pr(Z < z) = {res}0.0000         {txt}Pr(|Z| > |z|) = {res}0.0000          {txt}Pr(Z > z) = {res}1.0000
{txt}
{com}. *
. *
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5A: OMIT PRE-BAA TERMINATED & POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES/REGULAR BUDGET: 'AUSTERE' EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSAL PROPORTION DIFFERENCE [SECTION 5: SUPPORTING INFORMATION DOCUMENT]
. prtest regimereg if e(sample) & onesidedagencies==0, by(bureauofbudget)

{txt}Two-sample test of proportions                     {res}0{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     222
                                                   1{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     376
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
       Group{col 14}{c |}{col 22}Mean{col 29}Std. Err.{col 44}z{col 49}P>|z|{col 59}[95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
           0 {c |}{res}{col 17} .3288288{col 28} .0315301{col 58}  .267031{col 70} .3906267
           {txt}1 {c |}{res}{col 17} .6329787{col 28} .0248569{col 58} .5842602{col 70} .6816973
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        diff {c |}{res}{col 17}-.3041499{col 28} .0401498{col 58}-.3828421{col 70}-.2254577
{txt}{col 14}{c |}{col 17}under Ho:{res}{col 28} .0422863{col 38}   -7.19{col 49}0.000
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
        diff = prop({res}0{txt}) - prop({res}1{txt})                                  z = {res} -7.1926
{txt}    Ho: diff = 0

    Ha: diff < 0                 Ha: diff != 0                 Ha: diff > 0
 Pr(Z < z) = {res}0.0000         {txt}Pr(|Z| > |z|) = {res}0.0000          {txt}Pr(Z > z) = {res}1.0000
{txt}
{com}. *
. 
. **** TABLE SI-5A: OMIT PRE-BAA TERMINATED & POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES/TOTAL BUDGET: 'AUSTERE' EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSAL PROPORTION DIFFERENCE [SECTION 5: SUPPORTING INFORMATION DOCUMENT]
. prtest regimetot if e(sample) & onesidedagencies==0, by(bureauofbudget)

{txt}Two-sample test of proportions                     {res}0{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     222
                                                   1{txt}: Number of obs = {res}     376
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
       Group{col 14}{c |}{col 22}Mean{col 29}Std. Err.{col 44}z{col 49}P>|z|{col 59}[95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
           0 {c |}{res}{col 17} .2837838{col 28} .0302579{col 58} .2244793{col 70} .3430883
           {txt}1 {c |}{res}{col 17} .6329787{col 28} .0248569{col 58} .5842602{col 70} .6816973
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
        diff {c |}{res}{col 17}-.3491949{col 28} .0391587{col 58}-.4259446{col 70}-.2724452
{txt}{col 14}{c |}{col 17}under Ho:{res}{col 28} .0423195{col 38}   -8.25{col 49}0.000
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
        diff = prop({res}0{txt}) - prop({res}1{txt})                                  z = {res} -8.2514
{txt}    Ho: diff = 0

    Ha: diff < 0                 Ha: diff != 0                 Ha: diff > 0
 Pr(Z < z) = {res}0.0000         {txt}Pr(|Z| > |z|) = {res}0.0000          {txt}Pr(Z > z) = {res}1.0000
{txt}
{com}. *
. *
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* PROPOSITION 2: DOES A STRONGER EXECUTIVE VETO THREAT [VIA BAA REFORMS] TRANSLATE INTO GREATER EXECUTIVE BUDGETARY INFLUENCE UNDER A WEAK VETO THREAT? ************
. 
. 
. ** POSIT THAT EXECUTIVE BUDGETARY INFLUENCE HAS DECLINED [IMPROVED] IN POST-BAA ERA COMPARED TO PRE-BAA ERA FOR CREDIBLE (NON-CREDIBLE) VETO THREAT BUDGET PROPOSALS [E <= A] ([E > A]) **
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** A. OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE [POSTBAAAGENCIES==0] ****
.  
. 
. 
. *** A1. BASELINE MODEL SPECIFICATION, I -- REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [EXCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ///
> *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. 
. ** NOTE: MUST EXCLUDE PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATION FIXED EFFECTS IN THE ANALYSIS BELOW TO OBTAIN MODEL CONVERGENCE ***
. 
. 
. movestay congbudchangereg2  l1congbudchangereg2 execbudchangereg2 ebcreg2baa bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> if postbaaagencies==0 & agenid!=15, cluster(agenid) /// 
> select(regimereg = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3223.2614{txt}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3207.7291{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3199.4533{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3199.1481{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3199.1473{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3199.1473{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       616
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(4){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3199.1473{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:27} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0669455{col 33}{space 2} .0899588{col 44}{space 1}   -0.74{col 53}{space 3}0.457{col 61}{space 4}-.2432615{col 74}{space 3} .1093705
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8473384{col 33}{space 2} .2277886{col 44}{space 1}    3.72{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .400881{col 74}{space 3} 1.293796
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1262777{col 33}{space 2}  .249122{col 44}{space 1}   -0.51{col 53}{space 3}0.612{col 61}{space 4}-.6145479{col 74}{space 3} .3619925
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 8.336953{col 33}{space 2}  10.8933{col 44}{space 1}    0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.444{col 61}{space 4}-13.01352{col 74}{space 3} 29.68743
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.346271{col 33}{space 2} 1.392027{col 44}{space 1}    0.97{col 53}{space 3}0.333{col 61}{space 4}-1.382053{col 74}{space 3} 4.074594
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 24.96186{col 33}{space 2} 23.29438{col 44}{space 1}    1.07{col 53}{space 3}0.284{col 61}{space 4} -20.6943{col 74}{space 3} 70.61801
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.308046{col 33}{space 2} .8836072{col 44}{space 1}   -1.48{col 53}{space 3}0.139{col 61}{space 4}-3.039884{col 74}{space 3} .4237928
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-36.96967{col 33}{space 2} 44.12561{col 44}{space 1}   -0.84{col 53}{space 3}0.402{col 61}{space 4}-123.4543{col 74}{space 3} 49.51494
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4071753{col 33}{space 2} .1100426{col 44}{space 1}   -3.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.6228549{col 74}{space 3}-.1914958
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2301552{col 33}{space 2}  .211607{col 44}{space 1}    1.09{col 53}{space 3}0.277{col 61}{space 4}-.1845869{col 74}{space 3} .6448973
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .643334{col 33}{space 2} .2194186{col 44}{space 1}    2.93{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4} .2132814{col 74}{space 3} 1.073387
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-8.770964{col 33}{space 2} 6.003536{col 44}{space 1}   -1.46{col 53}{space 3}0.144{col 61}{space 4}-20.53768{col 74}{space 3}  2.99575
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.346713{col 33}{space 2} 2.417299{col 44}{space 1}    1.38{col 53}{space 3}0.166{col 61}{space 4}-1.391106{col 74}{space 3} 8.084533
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-9.584637{col 33}{space 2} 9.234673{col 44}{space 1}   -1.04{col 53}{space 3}0.299{col 61}{space 4}-27.68426{col 74}{space 3}  8.51499
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.740188{col 33}{space 2} .8291223{col 44}{space 1}   -3.30{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-4.365238{col 74}{space 3}-1.115138
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -8.76082{col 33}{space 2} 10.60617{col 44}{space 1}   -0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.409{col 61}{space 4}-29.54853{col 74}{space 3} 12.02689
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimereg           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0087945{col 33}{space 2} .0034733{col 44}{space 1}    2.53{col 53}{space 3}0.011{col 61}{space 4}  .001987{col 74}{space 3}  .015602
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0062068{col 33}{space 2}  .007437{col 44}{space 1}    0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.404{col 61}{space 4}-.0083695{col 74}{space 3} .0207832
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0129351{col 33}{space 2} .0080476{col 44}{space 1}   -1.61{col 53}{space 3}0.108{col 61}{space 4}-.0287082{col 74}{space 3} .0028379
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0068995{col 33}{space 2}  .070634{col 44}{space 1}    0.10{col 53}{space 3}0.922{col 61}{space 4}-.1315407{col 74}{space 3} .1453396
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.367269{col 33}{space 2} .3122442{col 44}{space 1}    4.38{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7552821{col 74}{space 3} 1.979257
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0231484{col 33}{space 2} .0280936{col 44}{space 1}   -0.82{col 53}{space 3}0.410{col 61}{space 4}-.0782109{col 74}{space 3} .0319141
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5596322{col 33}{space 2} .2910289{col 44}{space 1}    1.92{col 53}{space 3}0.054{col 61}{space 4} -.010774{col 74}{space 3} 1.130038
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2657171{col 33}{space 2} .1266892{col 44}{space 1}   -2.10{col 53}{space 3}0.036{col 61}{space 4}-.5140234{col 74}{space 3}-.0174107
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.332081{col 33}{space 2} .5146893{col 44}{space 1}   -2.59{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4}-2.340854{col 74}{space 3}-.3233089
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res}  3.23925   .4905035     6.60   0.000{col 58} 2.277881    4.200619
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res} 3.565246   .1373719    25.95   0.000{col 58} 3.296002     3.83449
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.357124   1.729825     0.78   0.433{col 58} -2.03327    4.747518
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.5953067   .5443329    -1.09   0.274{col 58} -1.66218    .4715661
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 25.51457   12.51499{col 58} 9.755981    66.72761
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 35.34814   4.855841{col 58} 27.00446    46.26982
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res} .8757244   .4032338{col 58}-.9663043    .9998496
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.5337015   .3892865{col 58}-.9305102    .4394638
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   66.73{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       616{col 28}-3232.512{col 39}-3199.147{col 50}    26{col 58} 6450.295{col 69} 6565.299
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5B: REGULAR BUDGET MODEL: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES  [SECTION 5: REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL] -- ANALOGOUS TO FIGURE 2 COMPUTED STATISTICS IN 'MANUSCRIPT MODELS' PROGRAM & OUTPUT **
. 
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8473384{col 26}{space 2} .2277886{col 37}{space 1}    3.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .400881{col 67}{space 3} 1.293796
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7210607{col 26}{space 2} .0973489{col 37}{space 1}    7.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5302604{col 67}{space 3} .9118611
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2301552{col 26}{space 2}  .211607{col 37}{space 1}    1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.277{col 54}{space 4}-.1845869{col 67}{space 3} .6448973
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8734892{col 26}{space 2} .0671558{col 37}{space 1}   13.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7418663{col 67}{space 3} 1.005112
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. * PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1 VS. REGIME 0)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa - [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa - [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7696117{col 26}{space 2} .3566298{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-1.468593{col 67}{space 3}-.0706301
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** A2. BASELINE MODEL SPECIFICATION, II -- TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [INCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ///
> *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION) ***
. 
. movestay congbudchangetot2 l1congbudchangetot2  execbudchangetot2 ebctot2baa bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> if postbaaagencies==0 & agenid!=15, cluster(agenid)  /// 
> select(regimetot = executiveagency)  difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3298.4296{txt}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -3291.346{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3280.2585{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3278.3024{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3278.2915{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3278.2915{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       617
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(4){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3278.2915{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:27} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1499228{col 33}{space 2} .0854865{col 44}{space 1}   -1.75{col 53}{space 3}0.079{col 61}{space 4}-.3174733{col 74}{space 3} .0176276
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7302542{col 33}{space 2} .2124321{col 44}{space 1}    3.44{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .3138949{col 74}{space 3} 1.146613
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0858794{col 33}{space 2} .2480796{col 44}{space 1}   -0.35{col 53}{space 3}0.729{col 61}{space 4}-.5721065{col 74}{space 3} .4003476
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 15.42888{col 33}{space 2} 17.25619{col 44}{space 1}    0.89{col 53}{space 3}0.371{col 61}{space 4}-18.39264{col 74}{space 3}  49.2504
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.008019{col 33}{space 2} 2.049073{col 44}{space 1}    0.49{col 53}{space 3}0.623{col 61}{space 4} -3.00809{col 74}{space 3} 5.024128
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 34.21918{col 33}{space 2} 45.63502{col 44}{space 1}    0.75{col 53}{space 3}0.453{col 61}{space 4}-55.22383{col 74}{space 3} 123.6622
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.526125{col 33}{space 2} 1.686495{col 44}{space 1}   -0.90{col 53}{space 3}0.366{col 61}{space 4}-4.831595{col 74}{space 3} 1.779344
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-54.66452{col 33}{space 2} 73.16326{col 44}{space 1}   -0.75{col 53}{space 3}0.455{col 61}{space 4}-198.0619{col 74}{space 3} 88.73284
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4278937{col 33}{space 2} .1094942{col 44}{space 1}   -3.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.6424984{col 74}{space 3}-.2132891
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .215868{col 33}{space 2}  .189933{col 44}{space 1}    1.14{col 53}{space 3}0.256{col 61}{space 4}-.1563938{col 74}{space 3} .5881298
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5880797{col 33}{space 2} .2016443{col 44}{space 1}    2.92{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}  .192864{col 74}{space 3} .9832953
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.621139{col 33}{space 2} 5.630902{col 44}{space 1}   -1.18{col 53}{space 3}0.240{col 61}{space 4} -17.6575{col 74}{space 3} 4.415226
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.932077{col 33}{space 2} 2.315313{col 44}{space 1}    1.27{col 53}{space 3}0.205{col 61}{space 4}-1.605853{col 74}{space 3} 7.470008
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.989609{col 33}{space 2} 7.303283{col 44}{space 1}   -0.96{col 53}{space 3}0.339{col 61}{space 4}-21.30378{col 74}{space 3} 7.324562
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.017411{col 33}{space 2} .8572006{col 44}{space 1}   -3.52{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-4.697493{col 74}{space 3}-1.337329
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.333062{col 33}{space 2} 9.786009{col 44}{space 1}   -0.65{col 53}{space 3}0.518{col 61}{space 4}-25.51329{col 74}{space 3} 12.84716
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimetot           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0072999{col 33}{space 2} .0019456{col 44}{space 1}    3.75{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0034866{col 74}{space 3} .0111133
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0056183{col 33}{space 2} .0045935{col 44}{space 1}    1.22{col 53}{space 3}0.221{col 61}{space 4}-.0033847{col 74}{space 3} .0146214
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0099289{col 33}{space 2} .0053415{col 44}{space 1}   -1.86{col 53}{space 3}0.063{col 61}{space 4}-.0203981{col 74}{space 3} .0005404
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6011935{col 33}{space 2} .2318163{col 44}{space 1}    2.59{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .1468419{col 74}{space 3} 1.055545
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0357183{col 33}{space 2} .0888628{col 44}{space 1}   -0.40{col 53}{space 3}0.688{col 61}{space 4}-.2098862{col 74}{space 3} .1384495
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0300411{col 33}{space 2} .0312327{col 44}{space 1}   -0.96{col 53}{space 3}0.336{col 61}{space 4}-.0912562{col 74}{space 3} .0311739
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.274664{col 33}{space 2} .3447068{col 44}{space 1}    3.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .599051{col 74}{space 3} 1.950277
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2412223{col 33}{space 2} .1490607{col 44}{space 1}   -1.62{col 53}{space 3}0.106{col 61}{space 4} -.533376{col 74}{space 3} .0509313
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.212029{col 33}{space 2} .5361169{col 44}{space 1}   -2.26{col 53}{space 3}0.024{col 61}{space 4}-2.262799{col 74}{space 3}-.1612592
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.599139   .5229699     6.88   0.000{col 58} 2.574136    4.624141
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res} 3.534138   .1069376    33.05   0.000{col 58} 3.324544    3.743732
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.768264   2.423109     0.73   0.466{col 58}-2.980942    6.517471
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.5432959   .4620291    -1.18   0.240{col 58}-1.448856    .3622646
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 36.56672   19.12329{col 58} 13.11998    101.9152
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 34.26547   3.664269{col 58} 27.78633     42.2554
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res} .9434189   .2664471{col 58}-.9948631    .9999956
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.4954788   .3486013{col 58}-.8954665    .3472072
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   87.94{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       617{col 28}-3322.261{col 39}-3278.291{col 50}    26{col 58} 6608.583{col 69}  6723.63
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5B: TOTAL BUDGET MODEL: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES [SECTION 5: TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL] -- ANALOGOUS TO FIGURE 2 COMPUTED STATISTICS IN 'MANUSCRIPT MODELS' PROGRAM & OUTPUT **
. 
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7302542{col 26}{space 2} .2124321{col 37}{space 1}    3.44{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .3138949{col 67}{space 3} 1.146613
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6443747{col 26}{space 2} .0942767{col 37}{space 1}    6.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4595958{col 67}{space 3} .8291536
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .215868{col 26}{space 2}  .189933{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.256{col 54}{space 4}-.1563938{col 67}{space 3} .5881298
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8039476{col 26}{space 2} .0696563{col 37}{space 1}   11.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6674238{col 67}{space 3} .9404714
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. * PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1 VS. REGIME 0)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa - [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa - [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6739591{col 26}{space 2} .3545531{col 37}{space 1}   -1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4} -1.36887{col 67}{space 3} .0209523
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** B. OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE [ONESIDEDAGENCIES==0] ****
.  
. 
. 
. *** B1. BASELINE MODEL SPECIFICATION, I -- REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [EXCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ///
> *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. 
. ** CANNOT OBTAIN MODEL CONVERGENCE **
.  
. *movestay congbudchangereg2  l1congbudchangereg2 execbudchangereg2 ebcreg2baa bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> *if onesidedagencies==0 & agenid!=15, cluster(agenid)  ///
> *select(regimereg = executiveagency) difficult
. *
. *estat ic
. *
. *
. *
. 
. ***************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** B2. BASELINE MODEL SPECIFICATION, II -- TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [INCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ///
> *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. 
. movestay congbudchangetot2 l1congbudchangetot2  execbudchangetot2 ebctot2baa bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> if onesidedagencies==0 & agenid!=15, cluster(agenid) select(regimetot = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3169.9538{txt}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3167.5585{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3158.4818{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3155.1247{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3154.8154{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3154.8136{txt}  
Iteration 6:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3154.8136{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       599
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(1){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3154.8136{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:24} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1624769{col 33}{space 2} .0943787{col 44}{space 1}   -1.72{col 53}{space 3}0.085{col 61}{space 4}-.3474558{col 74}{space 3} .0225019
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7171375{col 33}{space 2} .2172963{col 44}{space 1}    3.30{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .2912446{col 74}{space 3}  1.14303
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.069621{col 33}{space 2} .2544891{col 44}{space 1}   -0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.784{col 61}{space 4}-.5684104{col 74}{space 3} .4291685
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 14.46768{col 33}{space 2} 16.48781{col 44}{space 1}    0.88{col 53}{space 3}0.380{col 61}{space 4}-17.84783{col 74}{space 3}  46.7832
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3915089{col 33}{space 2} 1.679447{col 44}{space 1}    0.23{col 53}{space 3}0.816{col 61}{space 4}-2.900146{col 74}{space 3} 3.683164
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 33.08133{col 33}{space 2}  45.4471{col 44}{space 1}    0.73{col 53}{space 3}0.467{col 61}{space 4}-55.99335{col 74}{space 3}  122.156
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.848853{col 33}{space 2} 1.626105{col 44}{space 1}   -1.14{col 53}{space 3}0.256{col 61}{space 4} -5.03596{col 74}{space 3} 1.338253
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-49.53826{col 33}{space 2}  69.7683{col 44}{space 1}   -0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.478{col 61}{space 4}-186.2816{col 74}{space 3} 87.20509
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3711537{col 33}{space 2} .1090043{col 44}{space 1}   -3.40{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.5847982{col 74}{space 3}-.1575093
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2136757{col 33}{space 2} .1986977{col 44}{space 1}    1.08{col 53}{space 3}0.282{col 61}{space 4}-.1757647{col 74}{space 3}  .603116
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5762293{col 33}{space 2} .2077434{col 44}{space 1}    2.77{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4} .1690597{col 74}{space 3} .9833989
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.244437{col 33}{space 2} 5.257756{col 44}{space 1}   -1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.319{col 61}{space 4}-15.54945{col 74}{space 3} 5.060576
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.598289{col 33}{space 2} 2.445825{col 44}{space 1}    1.06{col 53}{space 3}0.288{col 61}{space 4}-2.195439{col 74}{space 3} 7.392017
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.882336{col 33}{space 2} 7.446485{col 44}{space 1}   -0.25{col 53}{space 3}0.800{col 61}{space 4}-16.47718{col 74}{space 3} 12.71251
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.969339{col 33}{space 2}  .851395{col 44}{space 1}   -3.49{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-4.638043{col 74}{space 3}-1.300636
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.534735{col 33}{space 2}   10.307{col 44}{space 1}   -0.73{col 53}{space 3}0.465{col 61}{space 4}-27.73608{col 74}{space 3} 12.66661
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimetot           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .006948{col 33}{space 2} .0020108{col 44}{space 1}    3.46{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0030068{col 74}{space 3} .0108891
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0051362{col 33}{space 2} .0049107{col 44}{space 1}    1.05{col 53}{space 3}0.296{col 61}{space 4}-.0044885{col 74}{space 3}  .014761
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0093133{col 33}{space 2} .0056337{col 44}{space 1}   -1.65{col 53}{space 3}0.098{col 61}{space 4}-.0203551{col 74}{space 3} .0017286
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0666419{col 33}{space 2} .1020753{col 44}{space 1}   -0.65{col 53}{space 3}0.514{col 61}{space 4}-.2667058{col 74}{space 3}  .133422
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.262891{col 33}{space 2} .3447112{col 44}{space 1}    3.66{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .5872691{col 74}{space 3} 1.938512
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0350314{col 33}{space 2} .0292374{col 44}{space 1}   -1.20{col 53}{space 3}0.231{col 61}{space 4}-.0923356{col 74}{space 3} .0222727
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5652868{col 33}{space 2} .2377222{col 44}{space 1}    2.38{col 53}{space 3}0.017{col 61}{space 4} .0993599{col 74}{space 3} 1.031214
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2381539{col 33}{space 2} .1403151{col 44}{space 1}   -1.70{col 53}{space 3}0.090{col 61}{space 4}-.5131664{col 74}{space 3} .0368586
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.052036{col 33}{space 2}  .575287{col 44}{space 1}   -1.83{col 53}{space 3}0.067{col 61}{space 4}-2.179578{col 74}{space 3} .0755056
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.593466   .5134705     7.00   0.000{col 58} 2.587083     4.59985
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res}  3.42388   .0918106    37.29   0.000{col 58} 3.243935    3.603826
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.754229   2.368738     0.74   0.459{col 58}-2.888411     6.39687
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.4621356   .4498533    -1.03   0.304{col 58}-1.343832    .4195607
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 36.35989   18.66973{col 58} 13.29094    99.46939
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 30.68826   2.817509{col 58} 25.63438    36.73851
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res}  .941855   .2674522{col 58}-.9938221    .9999944
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.4318232   .3659686{col 58}-.8725895    .3965602
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   71.04{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       599{col 28}-3190.336{col 39}-3154.814{col 50}    23{col 58} 6355.627{col 69} 6456.718
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5B: TOTAL BUDGET MODEL: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED & POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE  [SECTION 5: TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL] -- ANALOGOUS TO FIGURE 2 COMPUTED STATISTICS IN 'MANUSCRIPT MODELS' PROGRAM & OUTPUT **
. 
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7171375{col 26}{space 2} .2172963{col 37}{space 1}    3.30{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .2912446{col 67}{space 3}  1.14303
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6475166{col 26}{space 2} .0933601{col 37}{space 1}    6.94{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4645341{col 67}{space 3} .8304991
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2136757{col 26}{space 2} .1986977{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.282{col 54}{space 4}-.1757647{col 67}{space 3}  .603116
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .789905{col 26}{space 2} .0677999{col 37}{space 1}   11.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6570197{col 67}{space 3} .9227903
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. * PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1 VS. REGIME 0)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa - [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa - [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6458503{col 26}{space 2} .3606153{col 37}{space 1}   -1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.073{col 54}{space 4}-1.352643{col 67}{space 3} .0609426
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** C. GENERATE AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS AND EMPLOY THOSE THAT SUFFICIENTLY STRADDLE BOTH PRE-REFORM & POST-REFORM ERAS ***
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** C1. BASELINE MODEL SPECIFICATION, I -- REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [EXCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ///
> *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. 
. 
. movestay congbudchangereg2  l1congbudchangereg2 execbudchangereg2 ebcreg2baa bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> agenid9 agenid12 agenid22 agenid23 agenid27 agenid31 agenid33 agenid35 if agenid!=15, cluster(agenid) select(regimereg = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3563.2162{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3551.1919{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3547.8455{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3547.7584{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3547.7582{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       675
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(1){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3547.7582{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:37} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1639036{col 33}{space 2}  .126927{col 44}{space 1}   -1.29{col 53}{space 3}0.197{col 61}{space 4}-.4126759{col 74}{space 3} .0848687
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8827951{col 33}{space 2} .2229966{col 44}{space 1}    3.96{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .4457299{col 74}{space 3}  1.31986
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3466279{col 33}{space 2} .2615054{col 44}{space 1}   -1.33{col 53}{space 3}0.185{col 61}{space 4} -.859169{col 74}{space 3} .1659131
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 11.51029{col 33}{space 2} 12.12409{col 44}{space 1}    0.95{col 53}{space 3}0.342{col 61}{space 4}-12.25249{col 74}{space 3} 35.27307
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.95871{col 33}{space 2}  5.42188{col 44}{space 1}    0.36{col 53}{space 3}0.718{col 61}{space 4} -8.66798{col 74}{space 3}  12.5854
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 19.85114{col 33}{space 2} 45.28598{col 44}{space 1}    0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.661{col 61}{space 4}-68.90775{col 74}{space 3}   108.61
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.477451{col 33}{space 2}  1.10086{col 44}{space 1}   -1.34{col 53}{space 3}0.180{col 61}{space 4}-3.635098{col 74}{space 3} .6801954
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.813908{col 33}{space 2} 3.879479{col 44}{space 1}    1.76{col 53}{space 3}0.079{col 61}{space 4}-.7897312{col 74}{space 3} 14.41755
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-12.28486{col 33}{space 2} 13.40088{col 44}{space 1}   -0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.359{col 61}{space 4}-38.55011{col 74}{space 3} 13.98039
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.925244{col 33}{space 2} 10.87734{col 44}{space 1}   -0.18{col 53}{space 3}0.860{col 61}{space 4}-23.24443{col 74}{space 3} 19.39395
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.929411{col 33}{space 2} 3.809886{col 44}{space 1}    0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.442{col 61}{space 4}-4.537828{col 74}{space 3} 10.39665
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.691848{col 33}{space 2} 8.910793{col 44}{space 1}   -0.30{col 53}{space 3}0.763{col 61}{space 4}-20.15668{col 74}{space 3} 14.77299
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.968139{col 33}{space 2} 6.029994{col 44}{space 1}   -0.33{col 53}{space 3}0.744{col 61}{space 4}-13.78671{col 74}{space 3} 9.850432
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.208132{col 33}{space 2} 14.03342{col 44}{space 1}   -0.37{col 53}{space 3}0.711{col 61}{space 4}-32.71313{col 74}{space 3} 22.29686
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.7902502{col 33}{space 2} 8.644353{col 44}{space 1}   -0.09{col 53}{space 3}0.927{col 61}{space 4}-17.73287{col 74}{space 3} 16.15237
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-36.54461{col 33}{space 2} 78.06469{col 44}{space 1}   -0.47{col 53}{space 3}0.640{col 61}{space 4}-189.5486{col 74}{space 3} 116.4594
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4052765{col 33}{space 2} .0959666{col 44}{space 1}   -4.22{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5933676{col 74}{space 3}-.2171854
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2248207{col 33}{space 2} .2107706{col 44}{space 1}    1.07{col 53}{space 3}0.286{col 61}{space 4}-.1882821{col 74}{space 3} .6379235
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6034318{col 33}{space 2} .2228823{col 44}{space 1}    2.71{col 53}{space 3}0.007{col 61}{space 4} .1665905{col 74}{space 3} 1.040273
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.921596{col 33}{space 2}  7.82277{col 44}{space 1}   -0.76{col 53}{space 3}0.449{col 61}{space 4}-21.25394{col 74}{space 3} 9.410751
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.474351{col 33}{space 2} 5.507019{col 44}{space 1}    0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.789{col 61}{space 4}-9.319207{col 74}{space 3} 12.26791
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.756547{col 33}{space 2} 8.103026{col 44}{space 1}   -0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.477{col 61}{space 4}-21.63819{col 74}{space 3} 10.12509
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.178419{col 33}{space 2} .8202408{col 44}{space 1}   -2.66{col 53}{space 3}0.008{col 61}{space 4}-3.786062{col 74}{space 3}-.5707771
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.675172{col 33}{space 2} 8.229936{col 44}{space 1}    0.45{col 53}{space 3}0.655{col 61}{space 4}-12.45521{col 74}{space 3} 19.80555
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 12.59057{col 33}{space 2} 7.911665{col 44}{space 1}    1.59{col 53}{space 3}0.112{col 61}{space 4}-2.916008{col 74}{space 3} 28.09715
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.473585{col 33}{space 2} 9.954167{col 44}{space 1}    0.35{col 53}{space 3}0.727{col 61}{space 4}-16.03622{col 74}{space 3} 22.98339
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.178599{col 33}{space 2} 9.710483{col 44}{space 1}   -0.53{col 53}{space 3}0.594{col 61}{space 4} -24.2108{col 74}{space 3}  13.8536
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 8.180723{col 33}{space 2} 8.149864{col 44}{space 1}    1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.315{col 61}{space 4}-7.792718{col 74}{space 3} 24.15416
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.877818{col 33}{space 2} 11.06723{col 44}{space 1}    0.17{col 53}{space 3}0.865{col 61}{space 4}-19.81355{col 74}{space 3} 23.56918
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 8.031139{col 33}{space 2} 13.29813{col 44}{space 1}    0.60{col 53}{space 3}0.546{col 61}{space 4}-18.03271{col 74}{space 3} 34.09498
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6569774{col 33}{space 2} 13.88382{col 44}{space 1}    0.05{col 53}{space 3}0.962{col 61}{space 4}-26.55482{col 74}{space 3} 27.86877
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-9.869413{col 33}{space 2} 14.43922{col 44}{space 1}   -0.68{col 53}{space 3}0.494{col 61}{space 4}-38.16976{col 74}{space 3} 18.43094
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimereg           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .008035{col 33}{space 2} .0033874{col 44}{space 1}    2.37{col 53}{space 3}0.018{col 61}{space 4} .0013959{col 74}{space 3} .0146742
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0049918{col 33}{space 2} .0074596{col 44}{space 1}    0.67{col 53}{space 3}0.503{col 61}{space 4}-.0096287{col 74}{space 3} .0196124
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0125455{col 33}{space 2} .0088085{col 44}{space 1}   -1.42{col 53}{space 3}0.154{col 61}{space 4}  -.02981{col 74}{space 3} .0047189
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6199322{col 33}{space 2} .2873514{col 44}{space 1}    2.16{col 53}{space 3}0.031{col 61}{space 4} .0567338{col 74}{space 3} 1.183131
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0443817{col 33}{space 2}   .23365{col 44}{space 1}   -0.19{col 53}{space 3}0.849{col 61}{space 4}-.5023273{col 74}{space 3} .4135639
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.269826{col 33}{space 2}  .371275{col 44}{space 1}    3.42{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .5421408{col 74}{space 3} 1.997512
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0244382{col 33}{space 2} .0300959{col 44}{space 1}   -0.81{col 53}{space 3}0.417{col 61}{space 4} -.083425{col 74}{space 3} .0345486
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6395098{col 33}{space 2} .1983836{col 44}{space 1}    3.22{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .2506851{col 74}{space 3} 1.028335
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2449046{col 33}{space 2} .3137373{col 44}{space 1}   -0.78{col 53}{space 3}0.435{col 61}{space 4}-.8598183{col 74}{space 3} .3700091
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0092915{col 33}{space 2} .3530201{col 44}{space 1}   -0.03{col 53}{space 3}0.979{col 61}{space 4}-.7011983{col 74}{space 3} .6826153
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4529013{col 33}{space 2} .4073765{col 44}{space 1}    1.11{col 53}{space 3}0.266{col 61}{space 4} -.345542{col 74}{space 3} 1.251345
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4275525{col 33}{space 2} .2879455{col 44}{space 1}    1.48{col 53}{space 3}0.138{col 61}{space 4}-.1368104{col 74}{space 3} .9919154
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0599684{col 33}{space 2} .3017147{col 44}{space 1}   -0.20{col 53}{space 3}0.842{col 61}{space 4}-.6513184{col 74}{space 3} .5313817
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0660174{col 33}{space 2} .4758053{col 44}{space 1}    0.14{col 53}{space 3}0.890{col 61}{space 4}-.8665438{col 74}{space 3} .9985786
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4019092{col 33}{space 2} .5147121{col 44}{space 1}    0.78{col 53}{space 3}0.435{col 61}{space 4} -.606908{col 74}{space 3} 1.410726
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3778554{col 33}{space 2} .1242179{col 44}{space 1}   -3.04{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.6213179{col 74}{space 3}-.1343929
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.185629{col 33}{space 2} .8370425{col 44}{space 1}   -1.42{col 53}{space 3}0.157{col 61}{space 4}-2.826202{col 74}{space 3} .4549441
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.428569   .5253858     6.53   0.000{col 58} 2.398832    4.458306
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res}  3.54147   .1188609    29.80   0.000{col 58} 3.308507    3.774433
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.500586   2.108209     0.71   0.477{col 58}-2.631429      5.6326
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.5497214   .4994444    -1.10   0.271{col 58}-1.528614    .4291715
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 30.83249   16.19895{col 58} 11.01031    86.34115
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 34.51763   4.102796{col 58} 27.34427     43.5728
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res}  .905254   .3805637{col 58}-.9896924    .9999744
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.5003114   .3744277{col 58}-.9101872    .4046287
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   76.59{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       675{col 28}-3586.052{col 39}-3547.758{col 50}    29{col 58} 7153.516{col 69} 7284.443
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5B: REGULAR BUDGET MODEL: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS BASED ON 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS  [SECTION 5: REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL] -- ANALOGOUS TO FIGURE 2 COMPUTED STATISTICS IN 'MANUSCRIPT MODELS' PROGRAM & OUTPUT **
. 
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8827951{col 26}{space 2} .2229966{col 37}{space 1}    3.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4457299{col 67}{space 3}  1.31986
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5361672{col 26}{space 2} .1463352{col 37}{space 1}    3.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2493554{col 67}{space 3} .8229789
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2248207{col 26}{space 2} .2107706{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.286{col 54}{space 4}-.1882821{col 67}{space 3} .6379235
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8282524{col 26}{space 2} .0648667{col 37}{space 1}   12.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .701116{col 67}{space 3} .9553889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. * PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1 VS. REGIME 0)
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa - [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa - [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9500597{col 26}{space 2} .3785683{col 37}{space 1}   -2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} -1.69204{col 67}{space 3}-.2080795
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** C2. BASELINE MODEL SPECIFICATION, II -- TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [INCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ///
> *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. 
. movestay congbudchangetot2 l1congbudchangetot2  execbudchangetot2 ebctot2baa bureauofbudget lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear ///
> agenid9 agenid12 agenid22 agenid23 agenid27 agenid31 agenid33 agenid35 if agenid!=15, cluster(agenid) select(regimetot = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3657.7438{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -3645.627{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3641.7373{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3641.6846{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3641.6846{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       676
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(0){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3641.6846{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:37} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2979947{col 33}{space 2} .0990527{col 44}{space 1}   -3.01{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4}-.4921344{col 74}{space 3} -.103855
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8638971{col 33}{space 2} .2466736{col 44}{space 1}    3.50{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .3804257{col 74}{space 3} 1.347368
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3774848{col 33}{space 2} .2808631{col 44}{space 1}   -1.34{col 53}{space 3}0.179{col 61}{space 4}-.9279663{col 74}{space 3} .1729967
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 14.90994{col 33}{space 2} 23.77762{col 44}{space 1}    0.63{col 53}{space 3}0.531{col 61}{space 4}-31.69333{col 74}{space 3} 61.51321
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.446318{col 33}{space 2} 7.991752{col 44}{space 1}    0.43{col 53}{space 3}0.666{col 61}{space 4}-12.21723{col 74}{space 3} 19.10986
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 15.18824{col 33}{space 2} 118.0532{col 44}{space 1}    0.13{col 53}{space 3}0.898{col 61}{space 4}-216.1917{col 74}{space 3} 246.5682
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.143535{col 33}{space 2}  1.47257{col 44}{space 1}   -0.78{col 53}{space 3}0.437{col 61}{space 4}-4.029719{col 74}{space 3}  1.74265
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  9.64518{col 33}{space 2} 13.25477{col 44}{space 1}    0.73{col 53}{space 3}0.467{col 61}{space 4}-16.33369{col 74}{space 3} 35.62405
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-18.08944{col 33}{space 2} 24.62574{col 44}{space 1}   -0.73{col 53}{space 3}0.463{col 61}{space 4}  -66.355{col 74}{space 3} 30.17612
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -7.49579{col 33}{space 2} 17.51727{col 44}{space 1}   -0.43{col 53}{space 3}0.669{col 61}{space 4}-41.82901{col 74}{space 3} 26.83742
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.083488{col 33}{space 2} 7.806152{col 44}{space 1}    0.14{col 53}{space 3}0.890{col 61}{space 4}-14.21629{col 74}{space 3} 16.38327
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -13.1675{col 33}{space 2} 9.274559{col 44}{space 1}   -1.42{col 53}{space 3}0.156{col 61}{space 4} -31.3453{col 74}{space 3} 5.010304
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.437079{col 33}{space 2}  9.40701{col 44}{space 1}   -0.68{col 53}{space 3}0.494{col 61}{space 4}-24.87448{col 74}{space 3} 12.00032
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-11.62188{col 33}{space 2} 21.72353{col 44}{space 1}   -0.53{col 53}{space 3}0.593{col 61}{space 4}-54.19921{col 74}{space 3} 30.95546
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.199203{col 33}{space 2} 19.09314{col 44}{space 1}   -0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.785{col 61}{space 4}-42.62107{col 74}{space 3} 32.22267
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-39.68302{col 33}{space 2} 177.7773{col 44}{space 1}   -0.22{col 53}{space 3}0.823{col 61}{space 4}-388.1202{col 74}{space 3} 308.7542
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3948226{col 33}{space 2} .0965705{col 44}{space 1}   -4.09{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5840973{col 74}{space 3} -.205548
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2018449{col 33}{space 2} .1904948{col 44}{space 1}    1.06{col 53}{space 3}0.289{col 61}{space 4}-.1715181{col 74}{space 3} .5752079
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5391678{col 33}{space 2} .2098649{col 44}{space 1}    2.57{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .1278401{col 74}{space 3} .9504955
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.747752{col 33}{space 2} 8.348692{col 44}{space 1}   -0.33{col 53}{space 3}0.742{col 61}{space 4}-19.11089{col 74}{space 3} 13.61538
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1072546{col 33}{space 2} 5.547607{col 44}{space 1}   -0.02{col 53}{space 3}0.985{col 61}{space 4}-10.98036{col 74}{space 3} 10.76585
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.814244{col 33}{space 2} 9.252269{col 44}{space 1}   -0.63{col 53}{space 3}0.530{col 61}{space 4}-23.94836{col 74}{space 3} 12.31987
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.403497{col 33}{space 2} .9025771{col 44}{space 1}   -2.66{col 53}{space 3}0.008{col 61}{space 4}-4.172516{col 74}{space 3}-.6344784
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 8.378824{col 33}{space 2} 7.818482{col 44}{space 1}    1.07{col 53}{space 3}0.284{col 61}{space 4} -6.94512{col 74}{space 3} 23.70277
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 13.54259{col 33}{space 2} 8.555056{col 44}{space 1}    1.58{col 53}{space 3}0.113{col 61}{space 4}-3.225012{col 74}{space 3} 30.31019
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.251489{col 33}{space 2} 10.11461{col 44}{space 1}    0.52{col 53}{space 3}0.604{col 61}{space 4}-14.57279{col 74}{space 3} 25.07577
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.818235{col 33}{space 2} 8.409449{col 44}{space 1}   -0.45{col 53}{space 3}0.650{col 61}{space 4}-20.30045{col 74}{space 3} 12.66398
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 10.93516{col 33}{space 2} 7.720827{col 44}{space 1}    1.42{col 53}{space 3}0.157{col 61}{space 4}-4.197381{col 74}{space 3}  26.0677
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.883824{col 33}{space 2} 10.72829{col 44}{space 1}    0.36{col 53}{space 3}0.717{col 61}{space 4}-17.14323{col 74}{space 3} 24.91088
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 11.02551{col 33}{space 2} 13.34105{col 44}{space 1}    0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.409{col 61}{space 4}-15.12247{col 74}{space 3} 37.17349
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.90126{col 33}{space 2} 13.79003{col 44}{space 1}    0.14{col 53}{space 3}0.890{col 61}{space 4} -25.1267{col 74}{space 3} 28.92922
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.416628{col 33}{space 2} 15.77839{col 44}{space 1}   -0.28{col 53}{space 3}0.780{col 61}{space 4} -35.3417{col 74}{space 3} 26.50844
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimetot           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0040804{col 33}{space 2} .0044119{col 44}{space 1}    0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.355{col 61}{space 4}-.0045667{col 74}{space 3} .0127276
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0051336{col 33}{space 2} .0055512{col 44}{space 1}    0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.355{col 61}{space 4}-.0057466{col 74}{space 3} .0160138
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0081354{col 33}{space 2}   .00691{col 44}{space 1}   -1.18{col 53}{space 3}0.239{col 61}{space 4}-.0216787{col 74}{space 3} .0054079
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6637479{col 33}{space 2} .3030557{col 44}{space 1}    2.19{col 53}{space 3}0.029{col 61}{space 4} .0697697{col 74}{space 3} 1.257726
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0016264{col 33}{space 2} .3002999{col 44}{space 1}   -0.01{col 53}{space 3}0.996{col 61}{space 4}-.5902034{col 74}{space 3} .5869506
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0452354{col 33}{space 2}  .036327{col 44}{space 1}   -1.25{col 53}{space 3}0.213{col 61}{space 4}-.1164349{col 74}{space 3} .0259641
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7227819{col 33}{space 2} .3015813{col 44}{space 1}    2.40{col 53}{space 3}0.017{col 61}{space 4} .1316934{col 74}{space 3}  1.31387
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.303203{col 33}{space 2} .3949181{col 44}{space 1}   -0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.443{col 61}{space 4}-1.077228{col 74}{space 3} .4708223
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0715133{col 33}{space 2} .4245617{col 44}{space 1}   -0.17{col 53}{space 3}0.866{col 61}{space 4} -.903639{col 74}{space 3} .7606124
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3290544{col 33}{space 2} .3561509{col 44}{space 1}    0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.356{col 61}{space 4}-.3689885{col 74}{space 3} 1.027097
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0418307{col 33}{space 2} .3913956{col 44}{space 1}    0.11{col 53}{space 3}0.915{col 61}{space 4}-.7252907{col 74}{space 3} .8089521
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1288236{col 33}{space 2} .2950569{col 44}{space 1}   -0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.662{col 61}{space 4}-.7071245{col 74}{space 3} .4494772
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0130684{col 33}{space 2} .5551145{col 44}{space 1}   -0.02{col 53}{space 3}0.981{col 61}{space 4}-1.101073{col 74}{space 3} 1.074936
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .180684{col 33}{space 2} .6744244{col 44}{space 1}    0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.789{col 61}{space 4}-1.141163{col 74}{space 3} 1.502532
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.306391{col 33}{space 2} .6233343{col 44}{space 1}    2.10{col 53}{space 3}0.036{col 61}{space 4} .0846777{col 74}{space 3} 2.528103
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.377073{col 33}{space 2} .1347793{col 44}{space 1}   -2.80{col 53}{space 3}0.005{col 61}{space 4}-.6412356{col 74}{space 3}-.1129103
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.289922{col 33}{space 2} 1.250893{col 44}{space 1}   -1.03{col 53}{space 3}0.302{col 61}{space 4}-3.741626{col 74}{space 3} 1.161783
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res}  3.66283   .7164721     5.11   0.000{col 58}  2.25857    5.067089
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res} 3.510956   .1268622    27.68   0.000{col 58}  3.26231    3.759601
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.284549   2.653653     0.48   0.628{col 58}-3.916515    6.485612
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.5344314   .5429315    -0.98   0.325{col 58}-1.598558    .5296948
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 38.97146   27.92196{col 58} 9.569398    158.7117
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 33.48025   4.247377{col 58} 26.10979    42.93129
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res} .8576921   .7015309{col 58}-.9992075    .9999953
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.4887612    .413232{col 58}-.9214511    .4851478
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   57.76{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       676{col 28}-3670.563{col 39}-3641.685{col 50}    29{col 58} 7341.369{col 69} 7472.339
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5B: TOTAL BUDGET MODEL: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS BASED ON 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS  [SECTION 5: TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL] -- ANALOGOUS TO FIGURE 2 COMPUTED STATISTICS IN 'MANUSCRIPT MODELS' PROGRAM & OUTPUT **
. 
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8638971{col 26}{space 2} .2466736{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3804257{col 67}{space 3} 1.347368
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1: E <= A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4864123{col 26}{space 2} .1135973{col 37}{space 1}    4.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2637656{col 67}{space 3}  .709059
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2018449{col 26}{space 2} .1904948{col 37}{space 1}    1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.289{col 54}{space 4}-.1715181{col 67}{space 3} .5752079
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. * MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 0: E > A)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7410127{col 26}{space 2} .0655884{col 37}{space 1}   11.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6124618{col 67}{space 3} .8695635
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. * PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS (REGIME 1 VS. REGIME 0)
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa - [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa - [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9166526{col 26}{space 2} .3812094{col 37}{space 1}   -2.40{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4}-1.663809{col 67}{space 3}-.1694958
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
.   
.   
.   
.  ******* PROPOSITION 3: DOES CENTRALIZATION [VIA BAA REFORMS] REDUCE THE BUDGETARY INFLUENCE OF AGENCY HEADS? **********
. 
.  
. 
.  
.  
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** A. OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE [POSTBAAAGENCIES==0] ****
.  
. 
. 
. *** A1. AUGMENTED AGENCY HEAD MODEL SPECIFICATION, I -- REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [EXCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ***
. *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. *** LN [AGENCY HEAD TENURE [AHT]] *** FULL SAMPLE OF AHT OBSERVATIONS ***
. 
. 
. movestay (congbudchangereg2 l1congbudchangereg2  execbudchangereg2 bureauofbudget ebcreg2baa lnagencyheadtenure baalnaht  ebcreg2lnaht  ebcreg2baalnaht  ///
> lnagencyage  unifiedpartygovt presadminyear) if postbaaagencies==0 & agenid!=15, cluster(agenid) ///
> select(regimereg = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3188.1591{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3167.9228{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3161.5301{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3161.4696{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3161.4695{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       615
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(0){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3161.4695{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:27} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0863943{col 33}{space 2} .1043308{col 44}{space 1}   -0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.408{col 61}{space 4}-.2908789{col 74}{space 3} .1180904
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6030198{col 33}{space 2} .3020137{col 44}{space 1}    2.00{col 53}{space 3}0.046{col 61}{space 4} .0110838{col 74}{space 3} 1.194956
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 10.50494{col 33}{space 2} 14.18178{col 44}{space 1}    0.74{col 53}{space 3}0.459{col 61}{space 4}-17.29083{col 74}{space 3} 38.30071
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1441712{col 33}{space 2} .3292678{col 44}{space 1}    0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.661{col 61}{space 4}-.5011818{col 74}{space 3} .7895242
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.049267{col 33}{space 2} 4.337503{col 44}{space 1}    0.24{col 53}{space 3}0.809{col 61}{space 4}-7.452082{col 74}{space 3} 9.550617
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.219219{col 33}{space 2} 3.965392{col 44}{space 1}   -0.56{col 53}{space 3}0.576{col 61}{space 4}-9.991245{col 74}{space 3} 5.552807
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4291607{col 33}{space 2}  .265088{col 44}{space 1}    1.62{col 53}{space 3}0.105{col 61}{space 4}-.0904021{col 74}{space 3} .9487236
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.495161{col 33}{space 2} .2869033{col 44}{space 1}   -1.73{col 53}{space 3}0.084{col 61}{space 4}-1.057481{col 74}{space 3} .0671591
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.300415{col 33}{space 2} 1.295948{col 44}{space 1}    1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.316{col 61}{space 4}-1.239596{col 74}{space 3} 3.840426
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 29.08347{col 33}{space 2} 25.29355{col 44}{space 1}    1.15{col 53}{space 3}0.250{col 61}{space 4}-20.49098{col 74}{space 3} 78.65792
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -1.23424{col 33}{space 2} .9931999{col 44}{space 1}   -1.24{col 53}{space 3}0.214{col 61}{space 4}-3.180876{col 74}{space 3} .7123963
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-41.59757{col 33}{space 2}  49.8374{col 44}{space 1}   -0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.404{col 61}{space 4}-139.2771{col 74}{space 3} 56.08193
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3752501{col 33}{space 2} .1178312{col 44}{space 1}   -3.18{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} -.606195{col 74}{space 3}-.1443051
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2138228{col 33}{space 2} .4100418{col 44}{space 1}   -0.52{col 53}{space 3}0.602{col 61}{space 4} -1.01749{col 74}{space 3} .5898443
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.309971{col 33}{space 2} 7.282126{col 44}{space 1}   -1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.315{col 61}{space 4}-21.58268{col 74}{space 3} 6.962733
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.025238{col 33}{space 2} .4373133{col 44}{space 1}    2.34{col 53}{space 3}0.019{col 61}{space 4}   .16812{col 74}{space 3} 1.882357
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.147951{col 33}{space 2} 2.975795{col 44}{space 1}   -0.72{col 53}{space 3}0.470{col 61}{space 4}-7.980402{col 74}{space 3} 3.684501
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3129727{col 33}{space 2} 4.180266{col 44}{space 1}   -0.07{col 53}{space 3}0.940{col 61}{space 4}-8.506144{col 74}{space 3} 7.880199
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3617068{col 33}{space 2} .3613452{col 44}{space 1}    1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.317{col 61}{space 4}-.3465168{col 74}{space 3}  1.06993
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3307722{col 33}{space 2} .3476269{col 44}{space 1}   -0.95{col 53}{space 3}0.341{col 61}{space 4}-1.012108{col 74}{space 3} .3505639
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.870732{col 33}{space 2}  2.30171{col 44}{space 1}    1.25{col 53}{space 3}0.212{col 61}{space 4}-1.640537{col 74}{space 3}    7.382
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-8.505354{col 33}{space 2} 7.492657{col 44}{space 1}   -1.14{col 53}{space 3}0.256{col 61}{space 4}-23.19069{col 74}{space 3} 6.179984
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.215268{col 33}{space 2} .6591051{col 44}{space 1}   -3.36{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} -3.50709{col 74}{space 3}-.9234454
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.562243{col 33}{space 2} 9.006247{col 44}{space 1}   -0.51{col 53}{space 3}0.612{col 61}{space 4}-22.21416{col 74}{space 3} 13.08968
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimereg           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0090009{col 33}{space 2} .0037013{col 44}{space 1}    2.43{col 53}{space 3}0.015{col 61}{space 4} .0017464{col 74}{space 3} .0162554
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0090924{col 33}{space 2} .0081571{col 44}{space 1}    1.11{col 53}{space 3}0.265{col 61}{space 4}-.0068952{col 74}{space 3}   .02508
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0190653{col 33}{space 2} .0104305{col 44}{space 1}   -1.83{col 53}{space 3}0.068{col 61}{space 4}-.0395087{col 74}{space 3}  .001378
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1225527{col 33}{space 2} .1468677{col 44}{space 1}    0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.404{col 61}{space 4}-.1653027{col 74}{space 3} .4104081
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0839537{col 33}{space 2} .1955322{col 44}{space 1}   -0.43{col 53}{space 3}0.668{col 61}{space 4}-.4671898{col 74}{space 3} .2992824
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0064378{col 33}{space 2} .0065518{col 44}{space 1}   -0.98{col 53}{space 3}0.326{col 61}{space 4}-.0192791{col 74}{space 3} .0064035
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0098954{col 33}{space 2}   .00854{col 44}{space 1}    1.16{col 53}{space 3}0.247{col 61}{space 4}-.0068427{col 74}{space 3} .0266336
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0104278{col 33}{space 2} .0708294{col 44}{space 1}    0.15{col 53}{space 3}0.883{col 61}{space 4}-.1283953{col 74}{space 3} .1492508
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.360189{col 33}{space 2} .3357179{col 44}{space 1}    4.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7021936{col 74}{space 3} 2.018184
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0247522{col 33}{space 2} .0287361{col 44}{space 1}   -0.86{col 53}{space 3}0.389{col 61}{space 4}-.0810738{col 74}{space 3} .0315694
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6189553{col 33}{space 2}  .365309{col 44}{space 1}    1.69{col 53}{space 3}0.090{col 61}{space 4}-.0970372{col 74}{space 3} 1.334948
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2838342{col 33}{space 2} .1720868{col 44}{space 1}   -1.65{col 53}{space 3}0.099{col 61}{space 4}-.6211181{col 74}{space 3} .0534497
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.442222{col 33}{space 2} .5391098{col 44}{space 1}   -2.68{col 53}{space 3}0.007{col 61}{space 4}-2.498858{col 74}{space 3}-.3855865
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.228975   .5763857     5.60   0.000{col 58}  2.09928    4.358671
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res}  3.47112   .1107341    31.35   0.000{col 58} 3.254085    3.688155
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.455617   2.159732     0.67   0.500{col 58}-2.777379    5.688613
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.4838461    .517009    -0.94   0.349{col 58}-1.497165     .529473
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 25.25376   14.55591{col 58} 8.160292    78.15316
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 32.17276   3.562624{col 58} 25.89592    39.97104
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res}  .896798   .4227748{col 58}-.9922918    .9999771
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.4493185   .4126316{col 58}-.9046347    .4849781
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   70.51{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       615{col 28}-3196.725{col 39} -3161.47{col 50}    26{col 58} 6374.939{col 69} 6489.901
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ********** EVALUATING PROPOSITION 3 [WITHIN-REGIME MODEL RESTRICTION/COEFFICIENTS] **************************
. 
. 
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS [SECTION 5: REGULAR BUDGET MODEL: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE] **
. 
. 
. 
. *** PLEASE NOTE THAT ONLY AHT = 1, 6, & 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE ARE REPORTED BELOW TO MATCH THE ENTRIES IN TABLE SI-5C ****
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.1A: PRE-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6030198{col 26}{space 2} .3020137{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4} .0110838{col 67}{space 3} 1.194956
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.371972{col 26}{space 2} .2392016{col 37}{space 1}    5.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9031458{col 67}{space 3} 1.840799
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.669444{col 26}{space 2} .4063285{col 37}{space 1}    4.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8730551{col 67}{space 3} 2.465833
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.2A: POST-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .747191{col 26}{space 2} .1651965{col 37}{space 1}    4.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4234117{col 67}{space 3}  1.07097
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht*1.791759

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6289344{col 26}{space 2} .2209014{col 37}{space 1}    2.85{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .1959756{col 67}{space 3} 1.061893
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5831865{col 26}{space 2} .3391181{col 37}{space 1}    1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.085{col 54}{space 4}-.0814728{col 67}{space 3} 1.247846
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. ***************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.1B: PRE-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2138228{col 26}{space 2} .4100418{col 37}{space 1}   -0.52{col 46}{space 3}0.602{col 54}{space 4} -1.01749{col 67}{space 3} .5898443
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4342686{col 26}{space 2} .3788936{col 37}{space 1}    1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.252{col 54}{space 4}-.3083493{col 67}{space 3} 1.176887
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907  

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .684985{col 26}{space 2} .5991238{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.253{col 54}{space 4}-.4892762{col 67}{space 3} 1.859246
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.2B: POST-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8114156{col 26}{space 2}  .179002{col 37}{space 1}    4.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4605781{col 67}{space 3} 1.162253
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759  ///
> + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8668428{col 26}{space 2} .0977963{col 37}{space 1}    8.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6751656{col 67}{space 3}  1.05852
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907  ///
> + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .888285{col 26}{space 2} .1824788{col 37}{space 1}    4.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5306331{col 67}{space 3} 1.245937
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. *** A2. AUGMENTED TENURE DIFFERENTIAL MODEL SPECIFICATION, II -- TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [INCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ///
> ***     ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ***
. ***     [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. ***     LN [AGENCY HEAD TENURE [AHT]] *** FULL SAMPLE OF AHT OBSERVATIONS ***
. 
. movestay (congbudchangetot2 l1congbudchangetot2  execbudchangetot2 bureauofbudget ebctot2baa lnagencyheadtenure  baalnaht  ebctot2lnaht  ebctot2baalnaht  ///
> lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear) if postbaaagencies==0 & agenid!=15, cluster(agenid) select(regimetot = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3255.8183{txt}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3251.2571{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3233.1424{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3230.2775{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3230.2283{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3230.2283{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       616
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(0){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3230.2283{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:27} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1437354{col 33}{space 2}  .078599{col 44}{space 1}   -1.83{col 53}{space 3}0.067{col 61}{space 4}-.2977866{col 74}{space 3} .0103159
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4393071{col 33}{space 2} .3108308{col 44}{space 1}    1.41{col 53}{space 3}0.158{col 61}{space 4}-.1699101{col 74}{space 3} 1.048524
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 22.15857{col 33}{space 2} 27.58043{col 44}{space 1}    0.80{col 53}{space 3}0.422{col 61}{space 4}-31.89808{col 74}{space 3} 76.21523
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2130847{col 33}{space 2} .2760639{col 44}{space 1}    0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.440{col 61}{space 4}-.3279906{col 74}{space 3}   .75416
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.787362{col 33}{space 2} 8.492893{col 44}{space 1}    0.68{col 53}{space 3}0.496{col 61}{space 4} -10.8584{col 74}{space 3} 22.43313
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.892208{col 33}{space 2} 7.857909{col 44}{space 1}   -1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.315{col 61}{space 4}-23.29343{col 74}{space 3} 7.509011
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6749419{col 33}{space 2} .4125716{col 44}{space 1}    1.64{col 53}{space 3}0.102{col 61}{space 4}-.1336836{col 74}{space 3} 1.483567
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.7449547{col 33}{space 2} .3057187{col 44}{space 1}   -2.44{col 53}{space 3}0.015{col 61}{space 4}-1.344152{col 74}{space 3} -.145757
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.511294{col 33}{space 2} 1.570841{col 44}{space 1}    0.96{col 53}{space 3}0.336{col 61}{space 4}-1.567497{col 74}{space 3} 4.590085
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 37.22961{col 33}{space 2} 50.01667{col 44}{space 1}    0.74{col 53}{space 3}0.457{col 61}{space 4}-60.80127{col 74}{space 3} 135.2605
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.644133{col 33}{space 2} 1.687707{col 44}{space 1}   -0.97{col 53}{space 3}0.330{col 61}{space 4}-4.951978{col 74}{space 3} 1.663713
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-62.11388{col 33}{space 2} 87.92856{col 44}{space 1}   -0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.480{col 61}{space 4}-234.4507{col 74}{space 3} 110.2229
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3949505{col 33}{space 2} .1041292{col 44}{space 1}   -3.79{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  -.59904{col 74}{space 3}-.1908611
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1779075{col 33}{space 2} .3345113{col 44}{space 1}   -0.53{col 53}{space 3}0.595{col 61}{space 4}-.8335377{col 74}{space 3} .4777226
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.645357{col 33}{space 2} 7.394756{col 44}{space 1}   -1.03{col 53}{space 3}0.301{col 61}{space 4}-22.13881{col 74}{space 3} 6.848098
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.011396{col 33}{space 2} .4002993{col 44}{space 1}    2.53{col 53}{space 3}0.012{col 61}{space 4} .2268236{col 74}{space 3} 1.795968
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.378182{col 33}{space 2} 3.224632{col 44}{space 1}   -0.74{col 53}{space 3}0.461{col 61}{space 4}-8.698345{col 74}{space 3} 3.941981
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.67403{col 33}{space 2} 4.646655{col 44}{space 1}    0.36{col 53}{space 3}0.719{col 61}{space 4}-7.433246{col 74}{space 3} 10.78131
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3340954{col 33}{space 2} .3490518{col 44}{space 1}    0.96{col 53}{space 3}0.338{col 61}{space 4}-.3500335{col 74}{space 3} 1.018224
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3748695{col 33}{space 2}  .359999{col 44}{space 1}   -1.04{col 53}{space 3}0.298{col 61}{space 4}-1.080455{col 74}{space 3} .3307155
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.407262{col 33}{space 2} 2.197641{col 44}{space 1}    1.10{col 53}{space 3}0.273{col 61}{space 4}-1.900036{col 74}{space 3}  6.71456
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.208657{col 33}{space 2} 5.909317{col 44}{space 1}   -1.05{col 53}{space 3}0.293{col 61}{space 4} -17.7907{col 74}{space 3} 5.373392
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.513645{col 33}{space 2} .7008168{col 44}{space 1}   -3.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.887221{col 74}{space 3}-1.140069
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.908697{col 33}{space 2} 8.391512{col 44}{space 1}   -0.23{col 53}{space 3}0.820{col 61}{space 4}-18.35576{col 74}{space 3} 14.53836
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimetot           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0078722{col 33}{space 2} .0022609{col 44}{space 1}    3.48{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0034408{col 74}{space 3} .0123035
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0016259{col 33}{space 2} .0043028{col 44}{space 1}    0.38{col 53}{space 3}0.706{col 61}{space 4}-.0068075{col 74}{space 3} .0100592
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .808284{col 33}{space 2} .4288193{col 44}{space 1}    1.88{col 53}{space 3}0.059{col 61}{space 4}-.0321864{col 74}{space 3} 1.648754
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0103557{col 33}{space 2} .0058031{col 44}{space 1}   -1.78{col 53}{space 3}0.074{col 61}{space 4}-.0217296{col 74}{space 3} .0010182
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2343029{col 33}{space 2}  .161254{col 44}{space 1}    1.45{col 53}{space 3}0.146{col 61}{space 4}-.0817491{col 74}{space 3} .5503548
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2409562{col 33}{space 2} .2136574{col 44}{space 1}   -1.13{col 53}{space 3}0.259{col 61}{space 4}-.6597171{col 74}{space 3} .1778046
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0000934{col 33}{space 2} .0078871{col 44}{space 1}    0.01{col 53}{space 3}0.991{col 61}{space 4}-.0153651{col 74}{space 3} .0155519
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0045909{col 33}{space 2} .0091228{col 44}{space 1}    0.50{col 53}{space 3}0.615{col 61}{space 4}-.0132896{col 74}{space 3} .0224713
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0011242{col 33}{space 2} .0758104{col 44}{space 1}    0.01{col 53}{space 3}0.988{col 61}{space 4}-.1474614{col 74}{space 3} .1497099
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.281744{col 33}{space 2} .4126455{col 44}{space 1}    3.11{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4} .4729733{col 74}{space 3} 2.090514
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0339189{col 33}{space 2} .0266598{col 44}{space 1}   -1.27{col 53}{space 3}0.203{col 61}{space 4}-.0861712{col 74}{space 3} .0183333
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2981116{col 33}{space 2} .2527622{col 44}{space 1}   -1.18{col 53}{space 3}0.238{col 61}{space 4}-.7935165{col 74}{space 3} .1972933
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.520664{col 33}{space 2} .6545729{col 44}{space 1}   -2.32{col 53}{space 3}0.020{col 61}{space 4}-2.803604{col 74}{space 3}-.2377249
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.542701   .6814554     5.20   0.000{col 58} 2.207073    4.878329
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res}  3.44503   .0886153    38.88   0.000{col 58} 3.271347    3.618713
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.815293    3.30509     0.55   0.583{col 58}-4.662564     8.29315
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.4500062    .452331    -0.99   0.320{col 58}-1.336559    .4365463
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 34.56015    23.5512{col 58} 9.089076    131.4109
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 31.34422   2.777577{col 58} 26.34681    37.28954
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res}  .948367   .3324921{col 58}-.9998217    .9999999
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.4219041   .3718147{col 58}-.8708432    .4107776
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   94.08{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       616{col 28}-3277.269{col 39}-3230.228{col 50}    26{col 58} 6512.457{col 69} 6627.461
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. ********** EVALUATING PROPOSITION 3 [WITHIN-REGIME MODEL RESTRICTION/COEFFICIENTS] **************************
. 
. 
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS [SECTION 5: TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE] **
. 
. *** PLEASE NOTE THAT ONLY AHT = 1, 6, & 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE ARE REPORTED BELOW TO MATCH THE ENTRIES IN TABLE SI-5C ****
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.1A: PRE-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4393071{col 26}{space 2} .3108308{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-.1699101{col 67}{space 3} 1.048524
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.64864{col 26}{space 2} .4602935{col 37}{space 1}    3.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7464816{col 67}{space 3} 2.550799
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.116475{col 26}{space 2}  .741375{col 37}{space 1}    2.85{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .6634066{col 67}{space 3} 3.569543
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.2A: POST-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6523918{col 26}{space 2} .2090383{col 37}{space 1}    3.12{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .2426843{col 67}{space 3} 1.062099
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht*1.791759

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5269457{col 26}{space 2} .2043998{col 37}{space 1}    2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .1263294{col 67}{space 3} .9275619
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4784164{col 26}{space 2} .3404113{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.160{col 54}{space 4}-.1887775{col 67}{space 3}  1.14561
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.1B: PRE-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1779075{col 26}{space 2} .3345113{col 37}{space 1}   -0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.595{col 54}{space 4}-.8335377{col 67}{space 3} .4777226
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4207109{col 26}{space 2} .4058565{col 37}{space 1}    1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.300{col 54}{space 4}-.3747532{col 67}{space 3} 1.216175
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6522884{col 26}{space 2} .6284958{col 37}{space 1}    1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.299{col 54}{space 4}-.5795408{col 67}{space 3} 1.884118
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.2B: POST-BAA REFORMS: OMIT POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8334883{col 26}{space 2}  .178105{col 37}{space 1}    4.68{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4844088{col 67}{space 3} 1.182568
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759  ///
> + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7604308{col 26}{space 2} .0456508{col 37}{space 1}   16.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6709568{col 67}{space 3} .8499048
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907  ///
> + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7321683{col 26}{space 2} .0863414{col 37}{space 1}    8.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5629422{col 67}{space 3} .9013943
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** B. OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE [ONESIDEDAGENCIES==0] ****
.  
.  
.  
. 
. *** B1. AUGMENTED AGENCY HEAD MODEL SPECIFICATION, I -- REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [EXCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ***
. *** [SELECTIVITY INSTRUMENTS: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION); [PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATION YEAR]] ***
. *** LN [AGENCY HEAD TENURE [AHT]] *** FULL SAMPLE OF AHT OBSERVATIONS ***
. 
. 
. movestay (congbudchangereg2 l1congbudchangereg2  execbudchangereg2 bureauofbudget ebcreg2baa lnagencyheadtenure ///
> baalnaht  ebcreg2lnaht  ebcreg2baalnaht  lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear) ///
> if onesidedagencies==0 & agenid!=15, cluster(agenid) select(regimereg = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3082.3491{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3036.4388{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3029.9463{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3029.7591{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3029.7588{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3029.7588{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       597
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(0){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3029.7588{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:24} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0980911{col 33}{space 2} .1149786{col 44}{space 1}   -0.85{col 53}{space 3}0.394{col 61}{space 4} -.323445{col 74}{space 3} .1272627
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5560392{col 33}{space 2} .2713153{col 44}{space 1}    2.05{col 53}{space 3}0.040{col 61}{space 4} .0242711{col 74}{space 3} 1.087807
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 9.883661{col 33}{space 2} 11.15799{col 44}{space 1}    0.89{col 53}{space 3}0.376{col 61}{space 4}-11.98561{col 74}{space 3} 31.75293
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1940725{col 33}{space 2} .3225916{col 44}{space 1}    0.60{col 53}{space 3}0.547{col 61}{space 4}-.4381954{col 74}{space 3} .8263404
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.016258{col 33}{space 2} 3.745562{col 44}{space 1}    0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.786{col 61}{space 4}-6.324908{col 74}{space 3} 8.357425
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.059483{col 33}{space 2}  4.35091{col 44}{space 1}   -0.47{col 53}{space 3}0.636{col 61}{space 4}-10.58711{col 74}{space 3} 6.468143
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4696014{col 33}{space 2} .2483613{col 44}{space 1}    1.89{col 53}{space 3}0.059{col 61}{space 4}-.0171779{col 74}{space 3} .9563807
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.5332889{col 33}{space 2} .3184612{col 44}{space 1}   -1.67{col 53}{space 3}0.094{col 61}{space 4}-1.157461{col 74}{space 3} .0908836
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.044349{col 33}{space 2} 1.143308{col 44}{space 1}    0.91{col 53}{space 3}0.361{col 61}{space 4}-1.196493{col 74}{space 3} 3.285191
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  27.4775{col 33}{space 2} 24.80163{col 44}{space 1}    1.11{col 53}{space 3}0.268{col 61}{space 4} -21.1328{col 74}{space 3}  76.0878
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.544843{col 33}{space 2} .8534864{col 44}{space 1}   -1.81{col 53}{space 3}0.070{col 61}{space 4}-3.217646{col 74}{space 3} .1279592
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -37.5561{col 33}{space 2} 43.24787{col 44}{space 1}   -0.87{col 53}{space 3}0.385{col 61}{space 4}-122.3204{col 74}{space 3} 47.20817
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2905511{col 33}{space 2} .1094341{col 44}{space 1}   -2.66{col 53}{space 3}0.008{col 61}{space 4} -.505038{col 74}{space 3}-.0760642
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.339003{col 33}{space 2}  .421753{col 44}{space 1}   -0.80{col 53}{space 3}0.422{col 61}{space 4}-1.165624{col 74}{space 3} .4876178
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.498354{col 33}{space 2} 6.071014{col 44}{space 1}   -1.07{col 53}{space 3}0.284{col 61}{space 4}-18.39732{col 74}{space 3} 5.400616
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.122587{col 33}{space 2} .4357203{col 44}{space 1}    2.58{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .2685907{col 74}{space 3} 1.976583
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.011357{col 33}{space 2} 3.249174{col 44}{space 1}   -0.93{col 53}{space 3}0.354{col 61}{space 4}-9.379621{col 74}{space 3} 3.356908
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8604136{col 33}{space 2} 4.379519{col 44}{space 1}    0.20{col 53}{space 3}0.844{col 61}{space 4}-7.723287{col 74}{space 3} 9.444114
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .460881{col 33}{space 2} .3889451{col 44}{space 1}    1.18{col 53}{space 3}0.236{col 61}{space 4}-.3014373{col 74}{space 3} 1.223199
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4335037{col 33}{space 2} .3719861{col 44}{space 1}   -1.17{col 53}{space 3}0.244{col 61}{space 4}-1.162583{col 74}{space 3} .2955757
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.464731{col 33}{space 2}  2.49565{col 44}{space 1}    0.99{col 53}{space 3}0.323{col 61}{space 4}-2.426654{col 74}{space 3} 7.356116
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.713116{col 33}{space 2} 7.281878{col 44}{space 1}   -0.24{col 53}{space 3}0.814{col 61}{space 4}-15.98533{col 74}{space 3}  12.5591
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.126009{col 33}{space 2} .6757726{col 44}{space 1}   -3.15{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-3.450499{col 74}{space 3}-.8015188
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.760138{col 33}{space 2} 9.049365{col 44}{space 1}   -0.53{col 53}{space 3}0.599{col 61}{space 4}-22.49657{col 74}{space 3} 12.97629
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimereg           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0083315{col 33}{space 2} .0037407{col 44}{space 1}    2.23{col 53}{space 3}0.026{col 61}{space 4} .0009998{col 74}{space 3} .0156633
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0061991{col 33}{space 2} .0076739{col 44}{space 1}    0.81{col 53}{space 3}0.419{col 61}{space 4}-.0088413{col 74}{space 3} .0212396
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5553549{col 33}{space 2} .3412695{col 44}{space 1}    1.63{col 53}{space 3}0.104{col 61}{space 4}-.1135211{col 74}{space 3} 1.224231
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0159677{col 33}{space 2} .0097959{col 44}{space 1}   -1.63{col 53}{space 3}0.103{col 61}{space 4}-.0351672{col 74}{space 3} .0032319
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1037203{col 33}{space 2} .1890252{col 44}{space 1}    0.55{col 53}{space 3}0.583{col 61}{space 4}-.2667623{col 74}{space 3} .4742028
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0640778{col 33}{space 2} .2289358{col 44}{space 1}   -0.28{col 53}{space 3}0.780{col 61}{space 4}-.5127836{col 74}{space 3} .3846281
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  -.00504{col 33}{space 2} .0062039{col 44}{space 1}   -0.81{col 53}{space 3}0.417{col 61}{space 4}-.0171995{col 74}{space 3} .0071194
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0084752{col 33}{space 2}  .008032{col 44}{space 1}    1.06{col 53}{space 3}0.291{col 61}{space 4}-.0072672{col 74}{space 3} .0242176
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0310437{col 33}{space 2} .0761276{col 44}{space 1}   -0.41{col 53}{space 3}0.683{col 61}{space 4} -.180251{col 74}{space 3} .1181637
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.34475{col 33}{space 2} .3111156{col 44}{space 1}    4.32{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7349742{col 74}{space 3} 1.954525
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0293879{col 33}{space 2} .0307157{col 44}{space 1}   -0.96{col 53}{space 3}0.339{col 61}{space 4}-.0895895{col 74}{space 3} .0308137
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2749958{col 33}{space 2} .1549773{col 44}{space 1}   -1.77{col 53}{space 3}0.076{col 61}{space 4}-.5787457{col 74}{space 3} .0287542
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.218864{col 33}{space 2} .5098444{col 44}{space 1}   -2.39{col 53}{space 3}0.017{col 61}{space 4}-2.218141{col 74}{space 3}-.2195873
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.211481   .5580672     5.75   0.000{col 58} 2.117689    4.305272
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res} 3.317037   .0726393    45.66   0.000{col 58} 3.174667    3.459408
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.425256   2.068376     0.69   0.491{col 58}-2.628687    5.479198
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.3307724   .4799686    -0.69   0.491{col 58}-1.271494    .6099488
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 24.81581   13.84889{col 58} 8.311909     74.0894
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 27.57852   2.003285{col 58} 23.91884    31.79813
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res} .8906902   .4274731{col 58} -.989636    .9999652
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.3192147   .4310608{col 58} -.854202    .5440911
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   55.34{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       597{col 28}-3057.427{col 39}-3029.759{col 50}    23{col 58} 6105.518{col 69} 6206.532
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ********** EVALUATING PROPOSITION 3 [WITHIN-REGIME MODEL RESTRICTION/COEFFICIENTS] **************************
. 
. 
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS [SECTION 5: REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE] **
. 
. *** PLEASE NOTE THAT ONLY AHT = 1, 6, & 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE ARE REPORTED BELOW TO MATCH THE ENTRIES IN TABLE SI-5C ****
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.1A: PRE-BAA REFORMS -- OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5560392{col 26}{space 2} .2713153{col 37}{space 1}    2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .0242711{col 67}{space 3} 1.087807
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.397452{col 26}{space 2} .2492725{col 37}{space 1}    5.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9088868{col 67}{space 3} 1.886017
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.722955{col 26}{space 2} .4048968{col 37}{space 1}    4.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9293719{col 67}{space 3} 2.516538
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.2A: POST-BAA REFORMS -- OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7501117{col 26}{space 2} .1638829{col 37}{space 1}    4.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4289071{col 67}{space 3} 1.071316
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht*1.791759

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6359992{col 26}{space 2} .2057052{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .2328245{col 67}{space 3} 1.039174
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5918543{col 26}{space 2} .3176397{col 37}{space 1}    1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.062{col 54}{space 4} -.030708{col 67}{space 3} 1.214417
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.1B: PRE-BAA REFORMS: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.339003{col 26}{space 2}  .421753{col 37}{space 1}   -0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.422{col 54}{space 4}-1.165624{col 67}{space 3} .4876178
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4867848{col 26}{space 2} .4390816{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.268{col 54}{space 4}-.3737993{col 67}{space 3} 1.347369
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907  

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8062436{col 26}{space 2} .6775886{col 37}{space 1}    1.19{col 46}{space 3}0.234{col 54}{space 4}-.5218057{col 67}{space 3} 2.134293
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.2B: POST-BAA REFORMS: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7835839{col 26}{space 2} .1651852{col 37}{space 1}    4.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4598269{col 67}{space 3} 1.107341
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759  ///
> + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8326375{col 26}{space 2}  .092513{col 37}{space 1}    9.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6513154{col 67}{space 3}  1.01396
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907  ///
> + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .851614{col 26}{space 2} .1735729{col 37}{space 1}    4.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5114174{col 67}{space 3} 1.191811
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** B2. AUGMENTED TENURE DIFFERENTIAL MODEL SPECIFICATION, II -- TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [INCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ***
. *** [SELECTIVITY INSTRUMENTS: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION); [PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATION YEAR]] ***
. *** LN [AGENCY HEAD TENURE [AHT]] *** FULL SAMPLE OF AHT OBSERVATIONS ***
. *** LINEAR INTERACTION EFFECT IN AGENCY HEAD COVARIATE: CONTINUOUS AGENCY HEAD COVARIATE ***
. 
. movestay (congbudchangetot2 l1congbudchangetot2  execbudchangetot2 bureauofbudget ebctot2baa lnagencyheadtenure  baalnaht  ebctot2lnaht  ebctot2baalnaht  ///
> lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt  presadminyear) if onesidedagencies==0 & agenid!=15, ///
> cluster(agenid) select(regimetot = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3113.4402{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3102.9038{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3098.9676{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3098.5762{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3098.5747{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3098.5747{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       598
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(0){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3098.5747{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:24} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1571409{col 33}{space 2}  .088869{col 44}{space 1}   -1.77{col 53}{space 3}0.077{col 61}{space 4} -.331321{col 74}{space 3} .0170393
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4216097{col 33}{space 2} .2638362{col 44}{space 1}    1.60{col 53}{space 3}0.110{col 61}{space 4}-.0954998{col 74}{space 3} .9387192
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 21.72872{col 33}{space 2} 23.12543{col 44}{space 1}    0.94{col 53}{space 3}0.347{col 61}{space 4}-23.59629{col 74}{space 3} 67.05372
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .236335{col 33}{space 2}  .251777{col 44}{space 1}    0.94{col 53}{space 3}0.348{col 61}{space 4}-.2571389{col 74}{space 3}  .729809
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.416082{col 33}{space 2} 7.356241{col 44}{space 1}    0.87{col 53}{space 3}0.383{col 61}{space 4}-8.001886{col 74}{space 3} 20.83405
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-8.309828{col 33}{space 2} 7.268121{col 44}{space 1}   -1.14{col 53}{space 3}0.253{col 61}{space 4}-22.55508{col 74}{space 3} 5.935427
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6964759{col 33}{space 2}   .34483{col 44}{space 1}    2.02{col 53}{space 3}0.043{col 61}{space 4} .0206214{col 74}{space 3}  1.37233
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.768204{col 33}{space 2} .2703644{col 44}{space 1}   -2.84{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}-1.298108{col 74}{space 3}-.2382996
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.021261{col 33}{space 2}   1.3209{col 44}{space 1}    0.77{col 53}{space 3}0.439{col 61}{space 4}-1.567656{col 74}{space 3} 3.610177
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 36.07492{col 33}{space 2} 50.47651{col 44}{space 1}    0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.475{col 61}{space 4}-62.85722{col 74}{space 3} 135.0071
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.047239{col 33}{space 2} 1.550336{col 44}{space 1}   -1.32{col 53}{space 3}0.187{col 61}{space 4}-5.085842{col 74}{space 3} .9913643
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-57.89898{col 33}{space 2} 80.50003{col 44}{space 1}   -0.72{col 53}{space 3}0.472{col 61}{space 4}-215.6761{col 74}{space 3} 99.87818
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3259638{col 33}{space 2} .1007987{col 44}{space 1}   -3.23{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.5235256{col 74}{space 3} -.128402
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3012232{col 33}{space 2} .3419869{col 44}{space 1}   -0.88{col 53}{space 3}0.378{col 61}{space 4}-.9715051{col 74}{space 3} .3690588
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.694445{col 33}{space 2} 5.943953{col 44}{space 1}   -1.13{col 53}{space 3}0.260{col 61}{space 4}-18.34438{col 74}{space 3} 4.955489
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.093623{col 33}{space 2} .4020491{col 44}{space 1}    2.72{col 53}{space 3}0.007{col 61}{space 4} .3056214{col 74}{space 3} 1.881625
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.890228{col 33}{space 2} 3.291243{col 44}{space 1}   -0.88{col 53}{space 3}0.380{col 61}{space 4}-9.340946{col 74}{space 3}  3.56049
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.077007{col 33}{space 2} 4.724483{col 44}{space 1}    0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.660{col 61}{space 4}-7.182809{col 74}{space 3} 11.33682
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .441709{col 33}{space 2} .3712205{col 44}{space 1}    1.19{col 53}{space 3}0.234{col 61}{space 4}-.2858697{col 74}{space 3} 1.169288
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4572725{col 33}{space 2} .3765807{col 44}{space 1}   -1.21{col 53}{space 3}0.225{col 61}{space 4}-1.195357{col 74}{space 3} .2808122
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.036391{col 33}{space 2} 2.426411{col 44}{space 1}    0.84{col 53}{space 3}0.401{col 61}{space 4}-2.719288{col 74}{space 3} 6.792069
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6185143{col 33}{space 2} 5.695662{col 44}{space 1}   -0.11{col 53}{space 3}0.914{col 61}{space 4}-11.78181{col 74}{space 3} 10.54478
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.482747{col 33}{space 2} .7234078{col 44}{space 1}   -3.43{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}  -3.9006{col 74}{space 3}-1.064894
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.324731{col 33}{space 2} 8.770839{col 44}{space 1}   -0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.791{col 61}{space 4}-19.51526{col 74}{space 3}  14.8658
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimetot           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0074789{col 33}{space 2} .0023359{col 44}{space 1}    3.20{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0029007{col 74}{space 3} .0120572
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0007187{col 33}{space 2} .0039782{col 44}{space 1}    0.18{col 53}{space 3}0.857{col 61}{space 4}-.0070785{col 74}{space 3} .0085158
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7714707{col 33}{space 2} .3836202{col 44}{space 1}    2.01{col 53}{space 3}0.044{col 61}{space 4}  .019589{col 74}{space 3} 1.523352
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0090956{col 33}{space 2} .0055941{col 44}{space 1}   -1.63{col 53}{space 3}0.104{col 61}{space 4}-.0200598{col 74}{space 3} .0018687
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2473746{col 33}{space 2} .2297104{col 44}{space 1}   -1.08{col 53}{space 3}0.282{col 61}{space 4}-.6975986{col 74}{space 3} .2028494
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0003228{col 33}{space 2} .0068199{col 44}{space 1}    0.05{col 53}{space 3}0.962{col 61}{space 4}-.0130439{col 74}{space 3} .0136895
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .004139{col 33}{space 2} .0082555{col 44}{space 1}    0.50{col 53}{space 3}0.616{col 61}{space 4}-.0120415{col 74}{space 3} .0203196
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0389324{col 33}{space 2} .0840117{col 44}{space 1}   -0.46{col 53}{space 3}0.643{col 61}{space 4}-.2035924{col 74}{space 3} .1257276
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.267562{col 33}{space 2} .4015089{col 44}{space 1}    3.16{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4} .4806189{col 74}{space 3} 2.054505
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0411661{col 33}{space 2} .0224724{col 44}{space 1}   -1.83{col 53}{space 3}0.067{col 61}{space 4}-.0852112{col 74}{space 3} .0028789
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2435047{col 33}{space 2} .2026912{col 44}{space 1}    1.20{col 53}{space 3}0.230{col 61}{space 4}-.1537627{col 74}{space 3} .6407722
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2821677{col 33}{space 2} .2323954{col 44}{space 1}   -1.21{col 53}{space 3}0.225{col 61}{space 4}-.7376543{col 74}{space 3} .1733188
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.327521{col 33}{space 2} .6363045{col 44}{space 1}   -2.09{col 53}{space 3}0.037{col 61}{space 4}-2.574655{col 74}{space 3}-.0803875
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.536359   .6670011     5.30   0.000{col 58}  2.22906    4.843657
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res} 3.301128   .0623722    52.93   0.000{col 58}  3.17888    3.423375
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.807104   3.234233     0.56   0.576{col 58}-4.531876    8.146083
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.3438109   .4091223    -0.84   0.401{col 58}-1.145676     .458054
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 34.34164   22.90592{col 58} 9.291133    126.9327
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 27.14323   1.692982{col 58} 24.01985    30.67276
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res} .9475367    .330455{col 58}-.9997685    .9999998
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.3308754   .3643322{col 58}-.8163165    .4284969
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   80.60{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       598{col 28}-3138.876{col 39}-3098.575{col 50}    23{col 58} 6243.149{col 69} 6344.202
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ********** EVALUATING PROPOSITION 3 [WITHIN-REGIME MODEL RESTRICTION/COEFFICIENTS] **************************
. 
. 
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS [SECTION 5: TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE] **
. 
. *** PLEASE NOTE THAT ONLY AHT = 1, 6, & 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE ARE REPORTED BELOW TO MATCH THE ENTRIES IN TABLE SI-5C ****
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.1A: PRE-BAA REFORMS: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4216097{col 26}{space 2} .2638362{col 37}{space 1}    1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.110{col 54}{space 4}-.0954998{col 67}{space 3} .9387192
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.669527{col 26}{space 2} .3960233{col 37}{space 1}    4.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8933352{col 67}{space 3} 2.445718
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.152288{col 26}{space 2} .6287968{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .9198685{col 67}{space 3} 3.384707
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.2A: POST-BAA REFORMS: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6579447{col 26}{space 2} .2061452{col 37}{space 1}    3.19{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .2539077{col 67}{space 3} 1.061982
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht*1.791759

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5294252{col 26}{space 2} .1924092{col 37}{space 1}    2.75{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}   .15231{col 67}{space 3} .9065403
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .479707{col 26}{space 2} .3229756{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.137{col 54}{space 4}-.1533136{col 67}{space 3} 1.112728
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. *
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.1B: PRE-BAA REFORMS: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3012232{col 26}{space 2} .3419869{col 37}{space 1}   -0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.378{col 54}{space 4}-.9715051{col 67}{space 3} .3690588
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .490213{col 26}{space 2} .4547203{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.281{col 54}{space 4}-.4010224{col 67}{space 3} 1.381448
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7963827{col 26}{space 2} .6920057{col 37}{space 1}    1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.250{col 54}{space 4}-.5599235{col 67}{space 3} 2.152689
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.2B: POST-BAA REFORMS: OMIT ALL "ONE-SIDED" PRE-BAA TERMINATED AND POST-BAA REFORM CREATED AGENCIES IN SAMPLE -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}    .7924{col 26}{space 2} .1678787{col 37}{space 1}    4.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4633637{col 67}{space 3} 1.121436
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759  ///
> + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7645141{col 26}{space 2} .0525294{col 37}{space 1}   14.55{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6615583{col 67}{space 3} .8674698
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907  ///
> + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7537263{col 26}{space 2} .0921925{col 37}{space 1}    8.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5730323{col 67}{space 3} .9344203
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
.  
. 
. *** C. GENERATE AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS AND EMPLOY THOSE THAT SUFFICIENTLY STRADDLE BOTH PRE-REFORM & POST-REFORM ERAS [PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS] ***
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** C1. AUGMENTED AGENCY HEAD MODEL SPECIFICATION, I -- REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [EXCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ***
. *** [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. *** LN [AGENCY HEAD TENURE [AHT]] *** FULL SAMPLE OF AHT OBSERVATIONS ***
. 
. 
. movestay (congbudchangereg2 l1congbudchangereg2  execbudchangereg2 bureauofbudget ebcreg2baa lnagencyheadtenure baalnaht  ebcreg2lnaht  ebcreg2baalnaht  ///
> lnagencyage  unifiedpartygovt presadminyear agenid9 agenid12 agenid22 agenid23 agenid27 agenid31 agenid33 agenid35) if agenid!=15, ///
> cluster(agenid) select(regimereg = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3541.3878{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3523.9845{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3511.3082{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3509.9644{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3509.9483{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3509.9483{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       674
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(1){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3509.9483{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:37} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1900373{col 33}{space 2} .1567625{col 44}{space 1}   -1.21{col 53}{space 3}0.225{col 61}{space 4}-.4972862{col 74}{space 3} .1172115
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6770752{col 33}{space 2} .3313524{col 44}{space 1}    2.04{col 53}{space 3}0.041{col 61}{space 4} .0276364{col 74}{space 3} 1.326514
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 11.34531{col 33}{space 2} 19.18958{col 44}{space 1}    0.59{col 53}{space 3}0.554{col 61}{space 4}-26.26559{col 74}{space 3}  48.9562
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1337799{col 33}{space 2} .3810212{col 44}{space 1}   -0.35{col 53}{space 3}0.726{col 61}{space 4}-.8805676{col 74}{space 3} .6130079
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4761706{col 33}{space 2} 6.614151{col 44}{space 1}    0.07{col 53}{space 3}0.943{col 61}{space 4}-12.48733{col 74}{space 3} 13.43967
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2593152{col 33}{space 2} 5.790349{col 44}{space 1}   -0.04{col 53}{space 3}0.964{col 61}{space 4}-11.60819{col 74}{space 3} 11.08956
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4012349{col 33}{space 2} .2772613{col 44}{space 1}    1.45{col 53}{space 3}0.148{col 61}{space 4}-.1421873{col 74}{space 3} .9446572
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4648804{col 33}{space 2} .3231612{col 44}{space 1}   -1.44{col 53}{space 3}0.150{col 61}{space 4}-1.098265{col 74}{space 3}  .168504
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.898864{col 33}{space 2} 5.602573{col 44}{space 1}    0.34{col 53}{space 3}0.735{col 61}{space 4}-9.081976{col 74}{space 3}  12.8797
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 25.63982{col 33}{space 2} 63.67909{col 44}{space 1}    0.40{col 53}{space 3}0.687{col 61}{space 4} -99.1689{col 74}{space 3} 150.4485
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.415727{col 33}{space 2} 1.081088{col 44}{space 1}   -1.31{col 53}{space 3}0.190{col 61}{space 4} -3.53462{col 74}{space 3} .7031669
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.611243{col 33}{space 2} 3.830959{col 44}{space 1}    1.46{col 53}{space 3}0.143{col 61}{space 4}-1.897298{col 74}{space 3} 13.11978
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-13.40984{col 33}{space 2} 13.66779{col 44}{space 1}   -0.98{col 53}{space 3}0.327{col 61}{space 4}-40.19822{col 74}{space 3} 13.37854
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.897107{col 33}{space 2} 11.41605{col 44}{space 1}   -0.25{col 53}{space 3}0.800{col 61}{space 4}-25.27216{col 74}{space 3} 19.47795
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.070108{col 33}{space 2} 5.443694{col 44}{space 1}    0.56{col 53}{space 3}0.573{col 61}{space 4}-7.599335{col 74}{space 3} 13.73955
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.863247{col 33}{space 2} 14.72371{col 44}{space 1}   -0.13{col 53}{space 3}0.899{col 61}{space 4}-30.72119{col 74}{space 3}  26.9947
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.720196{col 33}{space 2} 6.250141{col 44}{space 1}   -0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.663{col 61}{space 4}-14.97025{col 74}{space 3} 9.529856
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.764723{col 33}{space 2} 16.54802{col 44}{space 1}   -0.35{col 53}{space 3}0.728{col 61}{space 4}-38.19824{col 74}{space 3}  26.6688
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.8423179{col 33}{space 2} 7.823607{col 44}{space 1}   -0.11{col 53}{space 3}0.914{col 61}{space 4}-16.17631{col 74}{space 3} 14.49167
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -42.0763{col 33}{space 2} 109.0509{col 44}{space 1}   -0.39{col 53}{space 3}0.700{col 61}{space 4}-255.8122{col 74}{space 3} 171.6596
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangereg2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3777819{col 33}{space 2} .1061803{col 44}{space 1}   -3.56{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5858915{col 74}{space 3}-.1696723
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2069863{col 33}{space 2} .4086969{col 44}{space 1}   -0.51{col 53}{space 3}0.613{col 61}{space 4}-1.008018{col 74}{space 3}  .594045
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.903936{col 33}{space 2} 8.150043{col 44}{space 1}   -0.72{col 53}{space 3}0.469{col 61}{space 4}-21.87773{col 74}{space 3} 10.06985
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9669297{col 33}{space 2} .4281872{col 44}{space 1}    2.26{col 53}{space 3}0.024{col 61}{space 4} .1276982{col 74}{space 3} 1.806161
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.840018{col 33}{space 2} 3.537007{col 44}{space 1}   -0.52{col 53}{space 3}0.603{col 61}{space 4}-8.772424{col 74}{space 3} 5.092387
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0173655{col 33}{space 2} 4.449152{col 44}{space 1}    0.00{col 53}{space 3}0.997{col 61}{space 4}-8.702812{col 74}{space 3} 8.737543
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3521484{col 33}{space 2} .3760688{col 44}{space 1}    0.94{col 53}{space 3}0.349{col 61}{space 4}-.3849329{col 74}{space 3}  1.08923
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3187368{col 33}{space 2} .3439999{col 44}{space 1}   -0.93{col 53}{space 3}0.354{col 61}{space 4}-.9929642{col 74}{space 3} .3554907
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  2.12254{col 33}{space 2} 4.685996{col 44}{space 1}    0.45{col 53}{space 3}0.651{col 61}{space 4}-7.061844{col 74}{space 3} 11.30692
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.507157{col 33}{space 2} 6.022045{col 44}{space 1}   -0.75{col 53}{space 3}0.454{col 61}{space 4}-16.31015{col 74}{space 3} 7.295835
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.710124{col 33}{space 2} .6760054{col 44}{space 1}   -2.53{col 53}{space 3}0.011{col 61}{space 4} -3.03507{col 74}{space 3} -.385178
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.240804{col 33}{space 2} 6.051764{col 44}{space 1}    0.21{col 53}{space 3}0.838{col 61}{space 4}-10.62044{col 74}{space 3} 13.10204
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 8.070464{col 33}{space 2} 6.752418{col 44}{space 1}    1.20{col 53}{space 3}0.232{col 61}{space 4}-5.164031{col 74}{space 3} 21.30496
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4113863{col 33}{space 2} 8.206334{col 44}{space 1}   -0.05{col 53}{space 3}0.960{col 61}{space 4}-16.49551{col 74}{space 3} 15.67273
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-8.655994{col 33}{space 2} 7.578487{col 44}{space 1}   -1.14{col 53}{space 3}0.253{col 61}{space 4}-23.50956{col 74}{space 3} 6.197568
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.278685{col 33}{space 2} 7.338156{col 44}{space 1}    0.86{col 53}{space 3}0.392{col 61}{space 4}-8.103838{col 74}{space 3} 20.66121
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.852187{col 33}{space 2} 10.17419{col 44}{space 1}    0.18{col 53}{space 3}0.856{col 61}{space 4}-18.08886{col 74}{space 3} 21.79324
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 4.036191{col 33}{space 2} 11.15075{col 44}{space 1}    0.36{col 53}{space 3}0.717{col 61}{space 4}-17.81888{col 74}{space 3} 25.89126
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.900413{col 33}{space 2}  11.3379{col 44}{space 1}   -0.17{col 53}{space 3}0.867{col 61}{space 4} -24.1223{col 74}{space 3} 20.32147
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.401077{col 33}{space 2} 12.19159{col 44}{space 1}   -0.61{col 53}{space 3}0.544{col 61}{space 4}-31.29616{col 74}{space 3} 16.49401
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimereg           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0086349{col 33}{space 2} .0041237{col 44}{space 1}    2.09{col 53}{space 3}0.036{col 61}{space 4} .0005525{col 74}{space 3} .0167172
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangereg2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0074527{col 33}{space 2} .0070915{col 44}{space 1}    1.05{col 53}{space 3}0.293{col 61}{space 4}-.0064463{col 74}{space 3} .0213517
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6801206{col 33}{space 2} .3108092{col 44}{space 1}    2.19{col 53}{space 3}0.029{col 61}{space 4} .0709457{col 74}{space 3} 1.289295
{txt}{space 9}ebcreg2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.018443{col 33}{space 2}  .008468{col 44}{space 1}   -2.18{col 53}{space 3}0.029{col 61}{space 4}  -.03504{col 74}{space 3}-.0018461
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0716728{col 33}{space 2} .1928561{col 44}{space 1}   -0.37{col 53}{space 3}0.710{col 61}{space 4}-.4496639{col 74}{space 3} .3063183
{txt}{space 7}ebcreg2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0066228{col 33}{space 2} .0061681{col 44}{space 1}   -1.07{col 53}{space 3}0.283{col 61}{space 4} -.018712{col 74}{space 3} .0054664
{txt}{space 4}ebcreg2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0108869{col 33}{space 2} .0072658{col 44}{space 1}    1.50{col 53}{space 3}0.134{col 61}{space 4}-.0033539{col 74}{space 3} .0251276
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0666238{col 33}{space 2} .2162611{col 44}{space 1}   -0.31{col 53}{space 3}0.758{col 61}{space 4}-.4904878{col 74}{space 3} .3572402
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0298931{col 33}{space 2} .0420873{col 44}{space 1}   -0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.478{col 61}{space 4}-.1123826{col 74}{space 3} .0525964
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7415498{col 33}{space 2} .2410712{col 44}{space 1}    3.08{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4} .2690588{col 74}{space 3} 1.214041
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1035463{col 33}{space 2} .3668269{col 44}{space 1}   -0.28{col 53}{space 3}0.778{col 61}{space 4}-.8225138{col 74}{space 3} .6154213
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1077431{col 33}{space 2} .3870997{col 44}{space 1}    0.28{col 53}{space 3}0.781{col 61}{space 4}-.6509584{col 74}{space 3} .8664447
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5377958{col 33}{space 2} .3149896{col 44}{space 1}    1.71{col 53}{space 3}0.088{col 61}{space 4}-.0795724{col 74}{space 3} 1.155164
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2107605{col 33}{space 2} .4632056{col 44}{space 1}   -0.46{col 53}{space 3}0.649{col 61}{space 4}-1.118627{col 74}{space 3} .6971058
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2172639{col 33}{space 2} .5551902{col 44}{space 1}    0.39{col 53}{space 3}0.696{col 61}{space 4}-.8708889{col 74}{space 3} 1.305417
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5641909{col 33}{space 2} .5866659{col 44}{space 1}    0.96{col 53}{space 3}0.336{col 61}{space 4}-.5856531{col 74}{space 3} 1.714035
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1337689{col 33}{space 2} .1408828{col 44}{space 1}    0.95{col 53}{space 3}0.342{col 61}{space 4}-.1423562{col 74}{space 3} .4098941
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.228422{col 33}{space 2} .4472275{col 44}{space 1}    2.75{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4} .3518721{col 74}{space 3} 2.104972
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5226513{col 33}{space 2} .2769266{col 44}{space 1}    1.89{col 53}{space 3}0.059{col 61}{space 4}-.0201149{col 74}{space 3} 1.065418
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4834073{col 33}{space 2}  .269934{col 44}{space 1}   -1.79{col 53}{space 3}0.073{col 61}{space 4}-1.012468{col 74}{space 3} .0456536
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.203687{col 33}{space 2} .9645315{col 44}{space 1}   -1.25{col 53}{space 3}0.212{col 61}{space 4}-3.094134{col 74}{space 3}   .68676
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.438291   .7234075     4.75   0.000{col 58} 2.020439    4.856144
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res} 3.451498   .0831367    41.52   0.000{col 58} 3.288553    3.614443
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.688576   3.351684     0.50   0.614{col 58}-4.880604    8.257756
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.4318969   .4341166    -0.99   0.320{col 58} -1.28275     .418956
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 31.13371   22.52236{col 58} 7.541633    128.5276
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 31.54761   2.622765{col 58} 26.80405    37.13065
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res} .9339656   .4280379{col 58}-.9998847    .9999999
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.4069054    .362239{col 58}-.8572158    .3960505
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   85.98{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       674{col 28}-3552.939{col 39}-3509.948{col 50}    36{col 58} 7091.897{col 69} 7254.373
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ********** EVALUATING PROPOSITION 3 [WITHIN-REGIME MODEL RESTRICTION/COEFFICIENTS] **************************
. 
. 
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS [SECTION 5: REGULAR DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS] **
. 
. *** PLEASE NOTE THAT ONLY AHT = 1, 6, & 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE ARE REPORTED BELOW TO MATCH THE ENTRIES IN TABLE SI-5C ****
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.1A: PRE-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6770752{col 26}{space 2} .3313524{col 37}{space 1}    2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4} .0276364{col 67}{space 3} 1.326514
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.395992{col 26}{space 2} .2875273{col 37}{space 1}    4.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8324483{col 67}{space 3} 1.959535
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.674107{col 26}{space 2} .4523137{col 37}{space 1}    3.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7875881{col 67}{space 3} 2.560625
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.2A: POST-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5432954{col 26}{space 2} .2011831{col 37}{space 1}    2.70{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .1489837{col 67}{space 3}  .937607
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht*1.791759

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .429258{col 26}{space 2} .3523349{col 37}{space 1}    1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-.2613057{col 67}{space 3} 1.119822
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_1]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_1]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3851423{col 26}{space 2} .5010065{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.442{col 54}{space 4}-.5968125{col 67}{space 3} 1.367097
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.1B: PRE-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2069863{col 26}{space 2} .4086969{col 37}{space 1}   -0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.613{col 54}{space 4}-1.008018{col 67}{space 3}  .594045
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4239788{col 26}{space 2} .4023481{col 37}{space 1}    1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.292{col 54}{space 4}-.3646091{col 67}{space 3} 1.212567
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907  

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6680698{col 26}{space 2} .6352074{col 37}{space 1}    1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.293{col 54}{space 4}-.5769138{col 67}{space 3} 1.913053
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART I.2B: POST-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7599434{col 26}{space 2} .1678789{col 37}{space 1}    4.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4309068{col 67}{space 3}  1.08898
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*1.791759  ///
> + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .819809{col 26}{space 2} .1188684{col 37}{space 1}    6.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5868313{col 67}{space 3} 1.052787
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht*2.484907  ///
> + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangereg2_0]execbudchangereg2 + [congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangereg2_0]ebcreg2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8429682{col 26}{space 2} .2056468{col 37}{space 1}    4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4399079{col 67}{space 3} 1.246029
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** C2. AUGMENTED TENURE DIFFERENTIAL MODEL SPECIFICATION, II -- TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET [INCLUDES EXTRAMURAL FUNDS]: ///
> ***     ENDOGENOUS REGIME SWITCHING REGRESSION MODELS ESTIMATED BY FIML ***
. ***     [SELECTIVITY COVARIATE: AGENCY DESIGN (EXECUTIVE DEPARTMENT / INDEPENDENT AGENCY BINARY DISTINCTION)] ***
. ***     LN [AGENCY HEAD TENURE [AHT]] *** FULL SAMPLE OF AHT OBSERVATIONS ***
. 
. movestay (congbudchangetot2 l1congbudchangetot2  execbudchangetot2 bureauofbudget ebctot2baa lnagencyheadtenure  baalnaht  ebctot2lnaht  ebctot2baalnaht  ///
> lnagencyage unifiedpartygovt presadminyear agenid9 agenid12 agenid22 agenid23 agenid27 agenid31 agenid33 agenid35) if agenid!=15, ///
> cluster(agenid) select(regimetot = executiveagency) difficult



Fitting initial values .....
{txt}Iteration 0:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3625.6935{txt}  
Iteration 1:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3610.7877{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3604.6708{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3604.4444{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3604.4438{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3604.4438{txt}  
{res}
{txt}Endogenous switching regression model{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       675
{col 51}{help j_robustsingular:Wald chi2(2){col 67}= }         .
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3604.4438{col 51}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}         .

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:37} clusters in agenid)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_1 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3010094{col 33}{space 2} .0947674{col 44}{space 1}   -3.18{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.4867501{col 74}{space 3}-.1152686
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5800792{col 33}{space 2} .2768929{col 44}{space 1}    2.09{col 53}{space 3}0.036{col 61}{space 4} .0373791{col 74}{space 3} 1.122779
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 16.39859{col 33}{space 2} 26.60414{col 44}{space 1}    0.62{col 53}{space 3}0.538{col 61}{space 4}-35.74456{col 74}{space 3} 68.54174
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1095035{col 33}{space 2} .3163488{col 44}{space 1}   -0.35{col 53}{space 3}0.729{col 61}{space 4}-.7295359{col 74}{space 3} .5105288
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.871295{col 33}{space 2} 10.64427{col 44}{space 1}    0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.787{col 61}{space 4}-17.99108{col 74}{space 3} 23.73367
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.518799{col 33}{space 2} 7.830274{col 44}{space 1}   -0.45{col 53}{space 3}0.653{col 61}{space 4}-18.86585{col 74}{space 3} 11.82826
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6225349{col 33}{space 2} .1957764{col 44}{space 1}    3.18{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .2388201{col 74}{space 3}  1.00625
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6017993{col 33}{space 2} .3437073{col 44}{space 1}   -1.75{col 53}{space 3}0.080{col 61}{space 4}-1.275453{col 74}{space 3} .0718546
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 4.458559{col 33}{space 2} 7.191172{col 44}{space 1}    0.62{col 53}{space 3}0.535{col 61}{space 4}-9.635879{col 74}{space 3}   18.553
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 21.96763{col 33}{space 2} 99.18267{col 44}{space 1}    0.22{col 53}{space 3}0.825{col 61}{space 4}-172.4268{col 74}{space 3} 216.3621
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.399457{col 33}{space 2} 1.446075{col 44}{space 1}   -0.97{col 53}{space 3}0.333{col 61}{space 4}-4.233712{col 74}{space 3} 1.434799
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  6.31268{col 33}{space 2} 10.34439{col 44}{space 1}    0.61{col 53}{space 3}0.542{col 61}{space 4}-13.96194{col 74}{space 3}  26.5873
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-19.51909{col 33}{space 2} 19.55537{col 44}{space 1}   -1.00{col 53}{space 3}0.318{col 61}{space 4}-57.84691{col 74}{space 3} 18.80874
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-10.25778{col 33}{space 2} 15.28808{col 44}{space 1}   -0.67{col 53}{space 3}0.502{col 61}{space 4}-40.22187{col 74}{space 3} 19.70632
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4227215{col 33}{space 2} 10.02626{col 44}{space 1}   -0.04{col 53}{space 3}0.966{col 61}{space 4}-20.07383{col 74}{space 3} 19.22838
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -9.36045{col 33}{space 2} 10.17508{col 44}{space 1}   -0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.358{col 61}{space 4}-29.30324{col 74}{space 3} 10.58234
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -9.29352{col 33}{space 2}   13.431{col 44}{space 1}   -0.69{col 53}{space 3}0.489{col 61}{space 4}-35.61779{col 74}{space 3} 17.03075
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-13.51786{col 33}{space 2} 19.08707{col 44}{space 1}   -0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.479{col 61}{space 4}-50.92784{col 74}{space 3} 23.89212
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-7.906277{col 33}{space 2} 17.94576{col 44}{space 1}   -0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.660{col 61}{space 4}-43.07932{col 74}{space 3} 27.26676
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-48.75834{col 33}{space 2}  161.818{col 44}{space 1}   -0.30{col 53}{space 3}0.763{col 61}{space 4}-365.9158{col 74}{space 3} 268.3991
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}congbudchangetot2_0 {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3718566{col 33}{space 2} .0910765{col 44}{space 1}   -4.08{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5503632{col 74}{space 3}-.1933499
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1915369{col 33}{space 2} .3615598{col 44}{space 1}   -0.53{col 53}{space 3}0.596{col 61}{space 4}-.9001811{col 74}{space 3} .5171072
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.506405{col 33}{space 2} 8.790897{col 44}{space 1}   -0.51{col 53}{space 3}0.608{col 61}{space 4}-21.73625{col 74}{space 3} 12.72344
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9136339{col 33}{space 2} .3896521{col 44}{space 1}    2.34{col 53}{space 3}0.019{col 61}{space 4} .1499297{col 74}{space 3} 1.677338
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.182159{col 33}{space 2} 3.799851{col 44}{space 1}   -0.57{col 53}{space 3}0.566{col 61}{space 4} -9.62973{col 74}{space 3} 5.265413
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9778351{col 33}{space 2} 4.877639{col 44}{space 1}    0.20{col 53}{space 3}0.841{col 61}{space 4}-8.582161{col 74}{space 3} 10.53783
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .331385{col 33}{space 2} .3413565{col 44}{space 1}    0.97{col 53}{space 3}0.332{col 61}{space 4}-.3376615{col 74}{space 3} 1.000431
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3151584{col 33}{space 2} .3459781{col 44}{space 1}   -0.91{col 53}{space 3}0.362{col 61}{space 4} -.993263{col 74}{space 3} .3629462
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.139592{col 33}{space 2} 4.786113{col 44}{space 1}    0.24{col 53}{space 3}0.812{col 61}{space 4}-8.241016{col 74}{space 3}  10.5202
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.724455{col 33}{space 2} 7.784694{col 44}{space 1}   -0.61{col 53}{space 3}0.544{col 61}{space 4}-19.98218{col 74}{space 3} 10.53326
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.997096{col 33}{space 2} .7931217{col 44}{space 1}   -2.52{col 53}{space 3}0.012{col 61}{space 4}-3.551585{col 74}{space 3}-.4426057
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.420125{col 33}{space 2} 6.272088{col 44}{space 1}    0.86{col 53}{space 3}0.387{col 61}{space 4}-6.872942{col 74}{space 3} 17.71319
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 8.251429{col 33}{space 2} 7.563782{col 44}{space 1}    1.09{col 53}{space 3}0.275{col 61}{space 4}-6.573311{col 74}{space 3} 23.07617
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2684751{col 33}{space 2} 8.382761{col 44}{space 1}    0.03{col 53}{space 3}0.974{col 61}{space 4}-16.16143{col 74}{space 3} 16.69838
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-8.344266{col 33}{space 2} 7.864462{col 44}{space 1}   -1.06{col 53}{space 3}0.289{col 61}{space 4}-23.75833{col 74}{space 3} 7.069798
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.936117{col 33}{space 2} 6.852041{col 44}{space 1}    1.01{col 53}{space 3}0.311{col 61}{space 4}-6.493637{col 74}{space 3} 20.36587
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.634204{col 33}{space 2} 9.151851{col 44}{space 1}    0.29{col 53}{space 3}0.773{col 61}{space 4} -15.3031{col 74}{space 3}  20.5715
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.479775{col 33}{space 2} 11.47963{col 44}{space 1}    0.48{col 53}{space 3}0.633{col 61}{space 4}-17.01988{col 74}{space 3} 27.97943
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.887323{col 33}{space 2} 11.52605{col 44}{space 1}   -0.16{col 53}{space 3}0.870{col 61}{space 4}-24.47797{col 74}{space 3} 20.70332
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.809343{col 33}{space 2} 11.62208{col 44}{space 1}   -0.24{col 53}{space 3}0.809{col 61}{space 4} -25.5882{col 74}{space 3} 19.96951
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}regimetot           {txt}{c |}
l1congbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0040493{col 33}{space 2} .0043304{col 44}{space 1}    0.94{col 53}{space 3}0.350{col 61}{space 4} -.004438{col 74}{space 3} .0125367
{txt}{space 2}execbudchangetot2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0048102{col 33}{space 2} .0076633{col 44}{space 1}    0.63{col 53}{space 3}0.530{col 61}{space 4}-.0102096{col 74}{space 3}   .01983
{txt}{space 9}ebctot2baa {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0083598{col 33}{space 2} .0065179{col 44}{space 1}   -1.28{col 53}{space 3}0.200{col 61}{space 4}-.0211347{col 74}{space 3} .0044151
{txt}{space 11}baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1647529{col 33}{space 2} .2558051{col 44}{space 1}   -0.64{col 53}{space 3}0.520{col 61}{space 4}-.6661218{col 74}{space 3}  .336616
{txt}{space 7}ebctot2lnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0025813{col 33}{space 2} .0050338{col 44}{space 1}   -0.51{col 53}{space 3}0.608{col 61}{space 4}-.0124473{col 74}{space 3} .0072847
{txt}{space 4}ebctot2baalnaht {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0031149{col 33}{space 2}  .005304{col 44}{space 1}    0.59{col 53}{space 3}0.557{col 61}{space 4}-.0072808{col 74}{space 3} .0135107
{txt}{space 8}lnagencyage {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0321127{col 33}{space 2} .2355785{col 44}{space 1}   -0.14{col 53}{space 3}0.892{col 61}{space 4} -.493838{col 74}{space 3} .4296126
{txt}{space 3}unifiedpartygovt {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.298681{col 33}{space 2} .4852802{col 44}{space 1}    2.68{col 53}{space 3}0.007{col 61}{space 4} .3475488{col 74}{space 3} 2.249812
{txt}{space 6}presadminyear {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0487511{col 33}{space 2}  .038007{col 44}{space 1}   -1.28{col 53}{space 3}0.200{col 61}{space 4}-.1232435{col 74}{space 3} .0257414
{txt}{space 12}agenid9 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7653764{col 33}{space 2} .2679685{col 44}{space 1}    2.86{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4} .2401679{col 74}{space 3} 1.290585
{txt}{space 11}agenid12 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1685673{col 33}{space 2}  .282418{col 44}{space 1}   -0.60{col 53}{space 3}0.551{col 61}{space 4}-.7220964{col 74}{space 3} .3849618
{txt}{space 11}agenid22 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0434498{col 33}{space 2} .3208404{col 44}{space 1}    0.14{col 53}{space 3}0.892{col 61}{space 4}-.5853859{col 74}{space 3} .6722855
{txt}{space 11}agenid23 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4233613{col 33}{space 2} .3089301{col 44}{space 1}    1.37{col 53}{space 3}0.171{col 61}{space 4}-.1821307{col 74}{space 3} 1.028853
{txt}{space 11}agenid27 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1502717{col 33}{space 2} .2983789{col 44}{space 1}    0.50{col 53}{space 3}0.615{col 61}{space 4}-.4345401{col 74}{space 3} .7350836
{txt}{space 11}agenid31 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1984601{col 33}{space 2} .3097515{col 44}{space 1}   -0.64{col 53}{space 3}0.522{col 61}{space 4}-.8055619{col 74}{space 3} .4086416
{txt}{space 11}agenid33 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1275175{col 33}{space 2} .4323028{col 44}{space 1}    0.29{col 53}{space 3}0.768{col 61}{space 4}-.7197804{col 74}{space 3} .9748155
{txt}{space 5}bureauofbudget {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8380913{col 33}{space 2} .2664301{col 44}{space 1}    3.15{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}  .315898{col 74}{space 3} 1.360285
{txt}{space 1}lnagencyheadtenure {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1947361{col 33}{space 2} .1471023{col 44}{space 1}    1.32{col 53}{space 3}0.186{col 61}{space 4}-.0935791{col 74}{space 3} .4830513
{txt}{space 11}agenid35 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3510602{col 33}{space 2} .5900207{col 44}{space 1}    0.59{col 53}{space 3}0.552{col 61}{space 4} -.805359{col 74}{space 3} 1.507479
{txt}{space 4}executiveagency {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4447222{col 33}{space 2} .1459646{col 44}{space 1}   -3.05{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-.7308075{col 74}{space 3}-.1586368
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.392528{col 33}{space 2} .9002599{col 44}{space 1}   -1.55{col 53}{space 3}0.122{col 61}{space 4}-3.157005{col 74}{space 3} .3719489
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       /lns1 {c |}  {res} 3.642538   .7052722     5.16   0.000{col 58} 2.260229    5.024846
       {txt}/lns2 {c |}  {res} 3.422749   .1019075    33.59   0.000{col 58} 3.223014    3.622484
         {txt}/r1 {c |}  {res} 1.311942    2.59486     0.51   0.613{col 58}-3.773889    6.397774
         {txt}/r2 {c |}  {res}-.4289534   .5290549    -0.81   0.417{col 58}-1.465882    .6079751
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
     sigma_1 {c |}  {res} 38.18862   26.93337{col 58} 9.585287    152.1468
     {txt}sigma_2 {c |}  {res} 30.65358   3.123828{col 58} 25.10368    37.43044
       {txt}rho_1 {c |}  {res} .8647661   .6543707{col 58} -.998946    .9999945
       {txt}rho_2 {c |}  {res}-.4044462   .4425138{col 58} -.898789    .5427002
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}
Wald test of indep. eqns. :{col 38}chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   55.31{col 59}{txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. *
. estat ic

{txt}Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       675{col 28}-3632.099{col 39}-3604.444{col 50}    36{col 58} 7280.888{col 69} 7443.417
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 0 6 0 77}Note: BIC uses N = number of observations. See {helpb bic_note:{bind:[R] BIC note}}.{p_end}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. ********** EVALUATING PROPOSITION 3 [WITHIN-REGIME MODEL RESTRICTION/COEFFICIENTS] **************************
. 
. 
. 
. ** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS [SECTION 5: TOTAL DISCRETIONARY BUDGET MODEL: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS] **
. 
. *** PLEASE NOTE THAT ONLY AHT = 1, 6, & 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE ARE REPORTED BELOW TO MATCH THE ENTRIES IN TABLE SI-5C ****
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.1A: PRE-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5800792{col 26}{space 2} .2768929{col 37}{space 1}    2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4} .0373791{col 67}{space 3} 1.122779
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.695512{col 26}{space 2} .4506952{col 37}{space 1}    3.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8121653{col 67}{space 3} 2.578858
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  2.12702{col 26}{space 2} .5639711{col 37}{space 1}    3.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.021657{col 67}{space 3} 3.232384
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.2A: POST-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 1: E <= A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4705757{col 26}{space 2} .2311623{col 37}{space 1}    2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4} .0175059{col 67}{space 3} .9236454
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht*1.791759

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5077288{col 26}{space 2} .2073877{col 37}{space 1}    2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .1012564{col 67}{space 3} .9142012
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht*2.484907

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_1]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_1]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5221016{col 26}{space 2} .3537475{col 37}{space 1}    1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.140{col 54}{space 4}-.1712308{col 67}{space 3} 1.215434
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. 
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.1B: PRE-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1915369{col 26}{space 2} .3615598{col 37}{space 1}   -0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.596{col 54}{space 4}-.9001811{col 67}{space 3} .5171072
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759  == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4022251{col 26}{space 2} .3747766{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.283{col 54}{space 4}-.3323235{col 67}{space 3} 1.136774
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER PRE-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6319239{col 26}{space 2} .5873029{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.282{col 54}{space 4}-.5191687{col 67}{space 3} 1.783016
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** TABLE SI-5C COMPUTED STATISTICS: PART II.2B: POST-BAA REFORMS: PARTIAL AGENCY UNIT EFFECTS USING 'SUFFICIENT' AGENCY PANELS -- (REGIME 0: E > A)   ***
. 
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 0 == AHT = 1 YEAR OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7220969{col 26}{space 2} .1118931{col 37}{space 1}    6.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5027905{col 67}{space 3} .9414034
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 1.791759 == AHT = 6 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*1.791759  ///
> + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht*1.791759 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht + 1.791759{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .751171{col 26}{space 2} .0501971{col 37}{space 1}   14.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6527864{col 67}{space 3} .8495556
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. * CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECT OF EBI UNDER POST-BAA REFORMS WHEN LN[AHT] = 2.484907  == AHT = 12 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE  *
. lincom [congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht*2.484907  ///
> + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht*2.484907 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[congbudchangetot2_0]execbudchangetot2 + [congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baa + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2lnaht + 2.484907{res}*{res}[congbudchangetot2_0]ebctot2baalnaht = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7624184{col 26}{space 2} .0784015{col 37}{space 1}    9.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6087543{col 67}{space 3} .9160825
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
.  * SAVE "EXECUTIVE BUDGETARY INFLUENCE" DATABASE AFTER ANALYSES OF REPORTED MODELS *
.  
. save "C:\Users\gk57526\Dropbox\Informal & Formal Bargaining (BAA Reforms)\JOP Replication File Materials\Data\execbudinfluence.08-26-2020.SI SECTION 5.ALTERNATIVE AGENCY PANEL MODELS.comments.dta", replace
{txt}file C:\Users\gk57526\Dropbox\Informal & Formal Bargaining (BAA Reforms)\JOP Replication File Materials\Data\execbudinfluence.08-26-2020.SI SECTION 5.ALTERNATIVE AGENCY PANEL MODELS.comments.dta saved

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
.  * CLOSE LOG FILE
. 
.  log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\gk57526\Dropbox\Informal & Formal Bargaining (BAA Reforms)\JOP Replication File Materials\Output\execbudinfluence.08-26-2020.SI SECTION 5.ALTERNATIVE AGENCY PANEL MODELS.comments.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}21 Mar 2021, 22:10:27
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}